AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet, updated after GW19: docs.google.com/spreadsheets... Some comments to follow - ThreadSky

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fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social • 59 days ago

AM Chip Planning Spreadsheet, updated after GW19: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11MzgHZpKIXH-ExLIjZeP8F9XNCycNBnrcDoBpWU34VM/edit?usp=sharing

Some comments to follow

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fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social•59 days ago

The key point of the spreadsheet is to identify which games are likely to yield a large AM EV. These are highlighted in color in the spreadsheet.

fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social•59 days ago

Dark Green 🟩🟩: Strong favorites with high EV with no bonus
Light green🟢⚪️: High EV with no bonus, and very likely that bonus will be active
Orange🟠🟠: High EV with bonus, and somewhat likely that bonus will be active
(2/.

fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social•59 days ago

I think one should want to jump on the orange matchups: these are typically ones where the gap in rank between the teams is not large, and the lower ranked team plays at home. Chance for high EV!
(3/.

fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social•59 days ago

Based on the current spreadsheet, I'm not too sanguine on AM24/25
(4/.

fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social•59 days ago

Key reason is that there aren't that many appealing matchups in GW26. These are the best two.
(5/.

fplfutbolmetrix.bsky.social•59 days ago

You could of course swerve to Arsenal (at home vs WHU), but there may be better options
(6/.

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