The fall of Assad has caused a collective shock among Russian politicians, pundits and bloggers alike. Reading their statements and hearing them is pure doom and gloom. It was not only Assad‘s fall itself, but also its swiftness.
Comments
Log in with your Bluesky account to leave a comment
Wait until Saudi Arabia floods the market with extra oil surplus and the price per barrel goes below $40. Then we will see Russia fracture just like the Soviet Union did.🔥👍
All Autocratic Regimes Fail. And the end, more often than not, comes suddenly, like in Syria, Romania, East Germany, Czechoslovakia, Poland and the USSR (and Imperial Russia before that).
IF Putin is lucky he winds up like Gorbachev (or Assad), but I’m betting on a Ceausescu style ending for him!!
Putin has been such an inadequate leader in all areas that those who believed in him must feel like fools. He needs it longer and slower than the summary execution of Ceausescu, so he has time to savor his downfall and understand he is neither a god nor a Great.
I think Assad was leaning towards Russia the way they always have and suddenly the support wasn’t there and then the end came quick.
This is already a very positive
sign for the war in Ukraine and if Georgia and some more Russified states can break the chains then the domino’s will fall quickly.
Don't worry. They will change the story and say that in reality Russia dropped Al Assad and it was all planned because they want to ally themselves with the new Syrian government.
They are holding on to their key bases in Tartus and Latakia because if they leave, there is no way they will return. They expect to have a some kind of deal with the new government.
They just kicked out Assad, the provisional government is organizing itself, there are too many factions. There is an Israeli intervention, a war still ongoing in the North between SNA and SDF, and Turkish bombings, the Americans and ISIS... The priority was to free the prisons.
I once heard a tale that had 3 waves come around the North of the Urals. That generational route through complete isolation. Each to evade the one behind. The third was the most despised defect born of man. A tale with no evidence. Except behold the repulsive creature that is that third.
Two weeks ago, it seemed unimaginable, and even after rebels took Aleppo, it was still inconceivable that it will go down all the way. In the end, it took only 10 days to reverse not only 10 years of engagement, but total collapse altogether.
It is not hard to see that they are terrified that this will be replicated in Ukraine, and they have all reason to be. The situation there might be different in some areas, but the overall notion remains the same, plus the escalating costs in Russian blood and money.
The war is dragging on with slow pace. Even if there would be some noticeable progress, it would be highly questionable if it would be a permanent state. The Russian presence is overwhelmingly rejected and persists only by suppression or outright destruction of entire cities.
Exactly. What Syria has shown is that even a hardhanded putdown of resistance might prove to be in vain in the end, however long the process of erosion might be.
And by now they must have realised that they would have to live with a resistance movement, picking the occupiers off with car bombs and sabotage whenever possible.
This was the same as in Syria and as we have seen there, it was unsustainable despite them being pushed back all the way to the corners of the country. It didn’t even need a foreign intervention, Syrians themselves overwhelmed the dictator and its foreign as well as weakened handlers.
Now Putinists see their own existence threatened. What happened in Syria can easily happen to them at any moment in time, fast and surprising. Dictatorships are brittle, because they are inflexible when it comes questioning their leadership,...
... especially when reflecting that dictatorships are the malfunctioning part of the society, and in this case everyone knows that the Syrian adventure as well as the Ukrainian war was Putin‘s decision. It has been a monumental disaster and it has all the ingredients to make Russia fail again.
#RussiaIsATerroristState committing a full-scale genocide in plain sight.
It is our duty towards Humanity to help 🇺🇦 win the war.
Whatever victory takes, right now 🔥
#SlavaUkraïni
🇱🇹🇩🇰🇵🇱🇫🇷🇩🇪🇮🇹🇪🇺🇬🇧🇳🇴✊🇺🇦
I guess they are also worried abt Caucasus, Central Asia and other parts of Russian federation. Sovjet Union disintegrated swiftly, Russian federation could follow suit
And there were better conditions for a soft landing back then. Western leaders helped Russia stay partially united, IMF and foreign consultants and investors helped stabilize things. I don’t think they we’ll get as much help and support this time.
Except who is going to do it in Russia?
There’s no openly internal conflicts and the Russian people are the biggest cucks they just do what daddy Putin says and tell him they like it.
I hope you are right though sooner the better.
Take Orban with him, god I hate that guy
Agreed. Putin is weak now but he will look for revenge once the war is over. As long as he has those bases, he can keep wreaking havoc in Syria and beyond. I'm surprised Erdogan would make the mistake of letting them stay.
Putin will not survive the end of this war long enough to do anything about it. I don't like Erdogan and it hurts me to admit it, he is much smarter than Putin and has had to politic through much more difficult terrain than Putin. Erdogan waits and lines his ducks up, unlike Putin's thuggish ways.
That's why I'm assuming Syria is simply trying to get some governing body in Damascus then will drive Russia out. If I had to bet on Russia staying or leaving Id say they're gonna leave since most syrians hate them
Comments
IF Putin is lucky he winds up like Gorbachev (or Assad), but I’m betting on a Ceausescu style ending for him!!
This is already a very positive
sign for the war in Ukraine and if Georgia and some more Russified states can break the chains then the domino’s will fall quickly.
@unrollplease.bsky.social
@unrollthis.bsky.social
@unrolls.bsky.social
ISIS basically caused a huge disruptive influence in the region. Everyone was fighting everyone.
Abu Mohammad al-Jolani got all the factions to stop fighting each other.
He promised protections to religious minorities.
We shall see
Should Georgians successfully resist and for GD out, it will get worse.
Dominos?
#RussiaIsATerroristState committing a full-scale genocide in plain sight.
It is our duty towards Humanity to help 🇺🇦 win the war.
Whatever victory takes, right now 🔥
#SlavaUkraïni
🇱🇹🇩🇰🇵🇱🇫🇷🇩🇪🇮🇹🇪🇺🇬🇧🇳🇴✊🇺🇦
There’s no openly internal conflicts and the Russian people are the biggest cucks they just do what daddy Putin says and tell him they like it.
I hope you are right though sooner the better.
Take Orban with him, god I hate that guy