I’m sure someone has done the research on this but anecdotally I have noticed a sharp decline in the usefulness of weather forecasts in a way that is probably not unrelated to the government kneecapping NOAA and the NWS.
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I've noticed frequent dramatic changes in the forecast from one day to the next (have not been tracking accuracy or anything). Seems like some data that would help is not being collected.
Right, you go to bed with "Tomorrow: 90% chance of heavy storms from sunrise to sunset" and the next morning you wake up to "Radiant sunshine all day, nearest cloud 200mi away"
Feels like these wild mood swings and miss-by-a-mile forecasts are a recent development. Someone has the data I'm sure.
Yeah it’s insane—Dark Sky used to tell you to the minute when it was going to rain and tomorrow’s forecast was relatively good all the time, now it’s just a big shrug and every time you look it’s different, and of course reality is different from what is displayed on the screen in real time too!
Obviously, it’s “the weather“ and it’s never been an exact science but generally speaking I feel like they could usually tell you with reasonable accuracy whether it was going to rain on the same day or the next.
It's worse than that - the ground weather systems (managed by NWS) weren't working at the little airport in San Diego where that plane crashed the other day. People are already dying because of DOGE.
And I actually saw a good analysis that probably will at least give you a direction in what you're looking for here, but I don't remember the source so I'll watch for it and try to bring it back and paste it if I can find it. You are correct, in other words, and at least some of it is explainable.
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Feels like these wild mood swings and miss-by-a-mile forecasts are a recent development. Someone has the data I'm sure.
https://bsky.app/profile/doyoulikepizza.bsky.social/post/3lpwzcdmeg22w
Remember when a big storm covered 2-4 states? Now 1,000+ mile storm fronts are common, a giant squeegee of rain sweeping across the continent.
https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/weather-balloons-stop-trump-cuts-forecasts-less-accurate-rcna198055
Trump 1 tried to put the AccuWeather CEO as the head of NOAA. They’ve seemed to have it out for NWS since the beginning.