Here are my 2¢ why the shit show yesterday is not entirely bad for Ukraine and a win for MAGA. This will be a LONG 🧵Please share! This wasn't just a loss for Ukraine, but also a strategic blunder for Trump and the U.S Trump had the minerals deal in hand, something tangible../1 #NAFO #NAFOfellas - ThreadSky

johngalt8.bsky.social • 2 days ago

Here are my 2¢ why the shit show yesterday is not entirely bad for Ukraine and a win for MAGA. This will be a LONG 🧵Please share!

This wasn't just a loss for Ukraine, but also a strategic blunder for Trump and the U.S

Trump had the minerals deal in hand, something tangible../1

#NAFO #NAFOfellas

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siliconsurfer.bsky.social•1 day ago

ogba.bsky.social•2 days ago

Thankyou. Very insightful.

johngalt8.bsky.social•2 days ago

..that he could have used to claim a win, reinforcing his "America First" rhetoric by securing resources for the U.S. economy. Walking away from it in a fit of bravado makes him look impulsive rather than shrewd. A good dealmaker knows when to take a win, but he seems to think that pressure... /2

johngalt8.bsky.social•2 days ago

and hostility alone will get him better terms. But the question is better terms to what??

Trump is overestimating U.S. leverage. His view of international relations as purely transactional fails to account for long-term alliances and trust. Unlike a business deal, where both sides come /3

johngalt8.bsky.social•2 days ago

come to the table voluntarily, foreign policy involves credibility, shared security interests, and global influence. If allies—especially in Europe—start seeing the U.S. as unreliable, they'll hedge their bets elsewhere.

We're already seeing signs of this: European leaders immediately rallied.. /4

johngalt8.bsky.social•2 days ago

around Zelenskyy after the meeting, which suggests they see Trump’s actions as reckless. Europe will reduce its dependence on the U.S., which in the long run will diminish American influence. If Trump thinks he can extract concessions from allies later, he may find that bridge already burned. /5

johngalt8.bsky.social•2 days ago

The "art of the deal" mindset only works when you actually have something the other party wants or needs. If U.S. support for Ukraine is truly conditional and erratic, why would anyone bother making deals with Trump in the first place? /6

johngalt8.bsky.social•2 days ago

If there's a silver lining for Ukraine, it's that this breakdown happened before any deal was signed. A drawn-out betrayal—where Trump slowly cut support while keeping Zelenskyy strung along with vague reassurances—could have been far worse.

Had Zelenskyy signed the minerals deal, Trump /7

rod-from-alabama.bsky.social•2 days ago

It was all staged for the TASS reporter in the room

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