1/7 Imperial russia is not the only regime facing setbacks in recent years: Tehran's influence, power, and deterrence in the Middle East have significantly diminished over the past year, and the situation in Syria is only exacerbating these challenges - ThreadSky

joniaskola.bsky.social • 88 days ago

1/7 Imperial russia is not the only regime facing setbacks in recent years: Tehran's influence, power, and deterrence in the Middle East have significantly diminished over the past year, and the situation in Syria is only exacerbating these challenges

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neils-0n-wheels.bsky.social•88 days ago

Perhaps the fog of war lifts..

danbb.bsky.social•88 days ago

russia got a lot of advance in africa

jasft.bsky.social•88 days ago

Losing Tartus will put a stop to that.

joniaskola.bsky.social•88 days ago

2/7 A little over a year ago, Tehran's influence, power, and deterrence in the Middle East were relatively strong, supported by capable proxies ready to carry out iran's interests and significantly enhancing its overall deterrence.

joniaskola.bsky.social•88 days ago

3/7 Tehran's weapons industry was thriving, and its proxies were strong in the countries where they operated. However, a year later, most of these proxies have been significantly weakened, and iran itself has also faced a decline.

joniaskola.bsky.social•88 days ago

4/7 One of the primary reasons for this shift is Israel's gradual dismantling of iran's deterrence capabilities. Additionally, recent developments in Syria have only exacerbated the situation for iran.

joniaskola.bsky.social•88 days ago

5/7 Hezbollah is currently so weakened that it has limited capacity in Syria, and Assad's own vulnerabilities further complicate the situation for iran. This allows Israel to continue undermining iran gradually while facing minimal risks.

joniaskola.bsky.social•88 days ago

6/7 russia has been a major loser in recent years, as its failure in Ukraine has stretched its resources too thin to meet commitments elsewhere, turning it into a pawn for china to destabilize the West. iran's weakening has been substantial too.

joniaskola.bsky.social•88 days ago

7/7 Source:
CNN - The illusion of Assad’s grip on Syria shatters, as russia, iran and hezbollah let their guard down

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