Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research: 🔴LPC 44% 🔵CPC 36% 🟠NDP 11% ⚜️BQ 5% (22% in QC) 🟢GPC 2% 🟣PPC 2% → 338canada.com/20250329-nan... [Nanos Research, March 28-30, 2025, n=1,264 (3-day rolling)] #canpoli - ThreadSky

338canada.bsky.social • 34 days ago

Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:

🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 36%
🟠NDP 11%
⚜️BQ 5% (22% in QC)
🟢GPC 2%
🟣PPC 2%

→ https://338canada.com/20250329-nan.htm

[Nanos Research, March 28-30, 2025, n=1,264 (3-day rolling)]

#canpoli

Comments

jer1190.bsky.social•33 days ago

Just as long as Pollievre and the conservatives don’t win. They would bow down to Trump and Canada is better than that.

springwatermike.bsky.social•33 days ago

You misspelled 'wild rose'... this is not to be mistaken for the party of Stanfield, Clark and Mulroney.

mgs42.bsky.social•34 days ago

Young people aren’t moving off the NDP the same way everyone else has been.

Which highlights what I’ve been saying, the #LPC need to focus on #affordability or they’ll remain exposed on their left flank.

lsaffs.bsky.social•34 days ago

https://bsky.app/profile/mark-carney.bsky.social/post/3lloh2zk5rk2j

mgs42.bsky.social•34 days ago

Awe gee thanks, something we already have in BC. That’ll totally help everyone.

Seriously though, I guess I should have clarified. They need Demand side solutions in place. Because it’s not a supply problem, it’s a money problem.

mgs42.bsky.social•34 days ago

I also work in manufacturing directly tied to this type of thing. Our manufacturing base isn’t prepared for this. Our labour lowkey, sucks.

lsaffs.bsky.social•34 days ago

What kinds of solutions would those be? (genuinely curious, not snarking)

mgs42.bsky.social•34 days ago

I’d strangle the ability to leverage land values. Essentially kill HELoC by tightening the Land to Value ratios outside of a primary mortgage.

Mortgage rules need to be extremely tightened, especially Mortgage Brokers. They’ll give one to your cat.

mgs42.bsky.social•34 days ago

Then id radically increase capital reserve requirements on Mortgage Backed Securities. You want to create money to fund housing? It’s going to cost more than 5% upfront.

Which would be a deterrent for the large capital flow we’ve seen into housing. Manufacturing would be more appealing.

pissy-badger.bsky.social•33 days ago

Who are these mindless 36 percenters, and how can we make them eat shit?

natalie.is-extremely.gay•34 days ago

https://bsky.app/profile/natalie.is-extremely.gay/post/3lloasbzfcc23

dmobrewsky.bsky.social•33 days ago

Can someone explain for non Canadians 🤔

joesart.bsky.social•33 days ago

Until recently, the LPC were led by former drama teacher Justin Trudeau. Now they are led by Harvard PhD economist Mark Carney. He was head of the bank of Canada and held a similar title in the UK. The leader of the CPC party is Pierre Poilievre. He's a phoney and will likely appease Trump.

deathbybacklog.bsky.social•33 days ago

syphonicwater.bsky.social•33 days ago

Get out and vote!!!

gusnlea.bsky.social•33 days ago

When is the election?

stevev68.bsky.social•34 days ago

Can you speak to the huge lean of men polled here, is he reweighting and doesn't that affect the MOE?

istodaygood.bsky.social•34 days ago

It makes me want to scream that so many Canadians think Trump wants to help anyone and that life in Russia is the stuff dreams are made of. It is maddening!

paulculloty.bsky.social•34 days ago

Under your electoral system though, Carney seems to rapidly entering landslide territory?

frannieagain.bsky.social•34 days ago

It looks that way and I certainly hope so, but polls aren’t always accurate predictors. We need people to get off their arses and vote!

joshandallo.bsky.social•34 days ago

Yes, but it remains to be seen if that CPC support is concentrated in just AB/SK or if it’s more spread out. If it’s the latter, then it might be a close race.

istodaygood.bsky.social•34 days ago

You could be right, but I'm not willing to gamble my future on anything that "seems" to be happening. We need to "make" it happen.

jmcardenas.bsky.social•34 days ago

Bloc at 22% in QC is beyond game over, isn’t it? Liberal wave in QC would mean the tight races in BC simply matter less. And this, in one of the “better” polls for NDP.

mgs42.bsky.social•34 days ago

It certainly gives me more confidence voting NDP in my Metro Vancouver riding. Mostly because the #LPC acclaimed someone who supported the B.C. Conservatives.

qousqous.bsky.social•34 days ago

Who is the LPC candidate you're referring to?

jmcardenas.bsky.social•34 days ago

It’s a bit of a catch 22, I suppose. If enough people close to the election think a LPC majority is in the bag, it may indeed not be in the bag. In some battlegrounds it’s just 3% one way or the other and *all* the races turn, sort of how all 7 US swing states went the same direction AND were tight.

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