A fascinating excerpt from a fascinating expert. www.thedailybeast.com/how-trumps-s... - ThreadSky

lukemcgee.bsky.social • 5 days ago

A fascinating excerpt from a fascinating expert.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/how-trumps-shock-nato-success-could-blow-right-back-on-him/

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fagankara.bsky.social•5 days ago

Europe has a very strong economic incentive to spend its defence $ at home

lukemcgee.bsky.social•5 days ago

The bad news: you can spend as much as you want but there needs to be stuff to buy if you are going to rearm yourself properly. Right now, NATO produces about one fifth of the TNT that Russia does.

A story I published in @theipaper.com

https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/tnt-nato-contain-putin-3763141

lukemcgee.bsky.social•5 days ago

The key bit

https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/tnt-nato-contain-putin-3763141

fagankara.bsky.social•5 days ago

“Compare Nato's TNT output capacity to Russia's annual 50,000 tonnes, then consider that Russia can also buy from India and China, and you start to see the scale of the problem facing British and Western arms manufacturers - and security officials.”

lukemcgee.bsky.social•5 days ago

TL;DR: Raising spending is great but it needs to be done alongside a long-term strategy. Otherwise you end up wasting money and not building capacity you actually need.

If you want to read more of my thoughts, I am on Substack.

https://lukemcgee.substack.com/

arj2024.bsky.social•5 days ago

Surely Trump's 5% plan for NATO is all about getting sales for US defence companies? He knows it's only US companies who can scale up relatively quickly (within a decade).

jason500550.bsky.social•5 days ago

Canada will have surplus resources (steel, aluminum, minerals, energy) and surplus labour as our auto industry is destroyed. It's time to see how quickly Carney can execute on his nation building projects and rapidly increase our defence production capacity.

lukemcgee.bsky.social•5 days ago

Depends. If Europeans work with Ukraine for example (which counts as European made) you start to see some very fast expansion.

arj2024.bsky.social•5 days ago

Ukraine have become innovators in garage made ultra-cheap drones whilst the UK defence procurement is stuck on hugely expensive last-century things like aircraft carriers (without aircraft).

It'd be fantastic to fund innovative SME manufacturers but I can't see it happening.

glostermeteor.bsky.social•5 days ago

Its a state owned entity right? Cut the output to the US and divert it to European countries.

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