With the 2025 Federal election approaching, I've published my best estimates of margins for all seats post redistribution, along with a new and augmented electoral pendulum for the election. #auspol https://antonygreen.com.au/fed25-election-new-seat-margins-and-electoral-pendulums/
Comments
That's depressing!
The changes reduce the size of the House of Representatives by one, the 2025 election to be a contest for 150 seats. Majority government will need Labor or the Coalition to win 76 seats.”
Record 27 seats 2022 that did not finish as contests between Labor and Coalition candidates.”
I summarise the state of play going into election and provide estimated margins for all seats affected by the redistribution - listing of margins for all seats at this link.”
A bit of relief coming on the weekend
😀
Moore is also very tight. Goodenough supporters must be pretty annoyed at him losing pre-selection and he's running as an indy (not a real indy tho).
Strange about Goodenough . He’s on Team Dutton . Shows how divided the Libs are in WA and Federally. What happened there ?
Should not be able to waste taxpayer funded electoral allowance like this
#auspol
Bring on the 'civil war', not sure that's what a civil war is but bring it on, war in the 'broad church'.
#auspol
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-17/wa-liberal-preselection-moore-ian-goodenough-beaten-by-connelly/103478256
Thanks for the link 😊
Lets do it in 2025 👏
#auspol
https://www.abc.net.au/dat/news/elections/federal/2025/guide/FED2025_ElectorateListing.pdf
Hope margin remains the same. Let's vote Rick Wilson O'Connor WA out
Luv ya werk.
(I just had to peek at my electorate of Wannon)