this is the most likely outcome

also, useful parallel with bluesky and the brazil ban on X last summer: even if the app shuts down for a month, that is not enough for people to fully build up their social graph on a new network. people will migrate back to tiktok en masse if its unbanned again
Reposted from John Paczkowski
When TikTok goes down on January 19, he will be able to blame the ban on outgoing President Biden, and then potentially bring the app back online with that one-time extension just hours after he comes to power. The optics will be immaculate ... www.forbes.com/sites/emilyb...

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