4.) It is basically certain that this will alienate the US in all future trade and diplomatic dealings in eastern Europe for the next 10-30 years, because the US will be regarded as an extortionate, bad faith actor comparable to Russia and China. 5.) This will impact US negotiating everywhere. - ThreadSky

joshstein.bsky.social • 1 day ago

4.) It is basically certain that this will alienate the US in all future trade and diplomatic dealings in eastern Europe for the next 10-30 years, because the US will be regarded as an extortionate, bad faith actor comparable to Russia and China.
5.) This will impact US negotiating everywhere.

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joshstein.bsky.social•1 day ago

6.) As the US attempts to engage in negotiations over mineral rights to secure a supply chain essential to major US industries (including and especially the tech industry), we've given away any expectation of good faith and soft power in those negotiations...

joshstein.bsky.social•1 day ago

Many African, South American, and Central Asian countries that already were (rightly) skeptical of US negotiations are now going to say "oh, actually, you're worse than the Chinese" and just opt to go with Chinese offers associated with Belt and Road.

joshstein.bsky.social•1 day ago

7.) Per above, Trump has provided the greatest windfall to Chinese long term development and economic strategy in the Xi era.
8.) The decision to ignore the interests of low- and middle-income countries poised to expand digital technology (both generally and the Paris AI summit specifically)...

joshstein.bsky.social•1 day ago

will result in massive wins for Chinese firms in strategic regions, including basically all of South Asia, west and central Africa, and even eastern Europe.

These errors are totally unforced. The US could have gotten what Trump wants *without* alienating ourselves from the rest of the world.

joshstein.bsky.social•1 day ago

9.) If someone believes (as Trump and the modern GOP do) that we're in basically a Cold War posture with China, then these are the worst possible strategic mistakes.

Most of the major figures in GOP foreign policy (including Rubio) know this, but they've subordinated this to self-preservation.

groundloop.bsky.social•23 hours ago

One thing: Americans seem to have a blind spot as large as the EU. Every time the US shoots itself out, it is obvious that the only alternative must be China. Unthinkable that the EU could make an offer that it is much more attractive than what China or such a US could come up with.

joshstein.bsky.social•23 hours ago

10.) (for all of the Democrats in office) Failing to make the point that Trump is jeopardizing US national security, both through his dipshit pseudo-negotiation and replacing every major area of US security infrastructure with incompetent loyalists, is a completely unforced error...

zmach.bsky.social•23 hours ago

They will go with Russia too for development funding.

https://www.ft.com/content/7110fc18-5a31-4387-9f4c-0cc5753d050a

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