“US intelligence assessments had reached a different conclusion – not only was Iran not actively pursuing a nuclear weapon, it was also up to three years away from being able to produce and deliver one to a target of its choosing.” https://www.cnn.com/2025/06/17/politics/israel-iran-nuclear-bomb-us-intelligence-years-away
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I seem to remember Iran suggesting they would do just that in their response.
https://krisweinschenker.wordpress.com/2023/04/30/iran-is-by-most-intelligence-agencies-accounts-two-weeks-away-from-producing-fissile-material-fareedzakaria/
Israel is getting its info from the IAEA which claims Iran has enough 60% enriched Uranium, very close to making a bomb.
Only vibes.