Nate's a 30%fucker which is the second worst thing to a 45%fucker. It's a specific percentage associated with being a smarmy fucker, in the former case just probable enough it's not "weird" and in the latter just improbable enough to claim you said it wouldn't happen.
Reposted from
Samus is Here
I should be kind to Nate Silver and say I have no idea what his prediction on Russia-Ukraine was ceasefire wise, just using Nate Silver as a type of loser who bets on these things.
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