indeed ! Difficult to detect a foreshock before the major one ! Next : submarine eruption ? And Tsunami after ? (Kolumbo 1650) major earthquake ? (as in Aquila 2009) nothing ? - ThreadSky

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marcoilbiondo.bsky.social • 17 days ago

indeed ! Difficult to detect a foreshock before the major one !

Next :
submarine eruption ? And Tsunami after ? (Kolumbo 1650)
major earthquake ? (as in Aquila 2009)
nothing ?

Comments

jonomtdoom.bsky.social•17 days ago

I dont have a PhD, but i have learnt that these events are inherently uncertain, so im keeping my options open, not making any predictions and waiting to see what happens.

rlacassin.bsky.social•17 days ago

General statistics on earthquakes would favour "nothing", but we don't know. We cannot exclude a larger event, even if probabilities (not calculated) are probably low.

marcoilbiondo.bsky.social•17 days ago

ça ressemble beaucoup à l'essaim de Mayotte que l'IPGP a expliqué par un nouveau volcan sous-marin non ?

J'imagine que ça ne donne pas les mêmes signatures spectrales.

marcoilbiondo.bsky.social•17 days ago

Careful, as Aquila was before 2009, compared to the other places of Greece, it was a very calm zone while my PhD (1991 with 1988 datas) and before, and on the USGS M>4.5 catalog too !

rlacassin.bsky.social•17 days ago

We all agree it’s a very active swarm. But not all swarms are foreshocks for a larger event.

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