Oh the 2027 timeline (originally the "Davidson Window" after the former INDOPACOM cocom who popularized it) is basically a fantasy. It's a motivated misread of some official PRC statements. To the best of my understanding, the PLA is not likely to consider itself "ready" until after 2030.
If it *ever* happens we've all failed. Honestly I have no clue. The PLA are probably not ready yet, but if this administration knuckles under and abandons Taiwan preemptively (IMO unlikely despite a couple scary reports out of State) then it happens basically as soon as Beijing realizes.
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