1000 days of war - where do we stand and what's next?
1. Russians are advancing slowly and with heavy losses, but they haven't even captured the entire Donbas yet.
2. No, Ukraine isn't on the verge of a frontal collapse in the coming months. The Ukrainians still have something to shoot at and
1. Russians are advancing slowly and with heavy losses, but they haven't even captured the entire Donbas yet.
2. No, Ukraine isn't on the verge of a frontal collapse in the coming months. The Ukrainians still have something to shoot at and
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3 The outcome of the war will depend on the attitude of the Trump administration. Biden's strategy, or rather lack of a strategy, has led to the slow bleeding
4. Kyiv sees Trump as a threat, but also as a potential opportunity to change the current US paradigm. Trump himself does not yet know whether this will be the case. It all depends on how the bargain with Putin turn out. Kremlin will demand
5. Europe will have to do more. Trump rightly says that the war is mainly Europe's problem.
6. Kyiv is furious about Scholz's phone call with Putin. There is no illusion that Germany, called by some the "epicentre of fear in Europe", will move.
This is a dangerous illusion.
The Kremlin has sensed weakness and want to dictate its own terms to Ukraine and the West.
8. Russia wants to be seen as stronger than it actually is. It has numerous internal weaknesses, and time is playing against it. Also North Korean troops are a sign
That's why the Kremlin hopes to win by playing on the West's weakness. After all, the war is also being fought on the diplomatic front.