Ireland's political leaders hold their final TV debate tonight ahead of Friday's General Election. Irish Times poll today - ThreadSky

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sundersays.bsky.social • 98 days ago

Ireland's political leaders hold their final TV debate tonight ahead of Friday's General Election. Irish Times poll today

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What government do the voters hope will emerge?

The parties voters hope won't be in the government

88% in Ireland are looking for change

35% want radical change
53% want moderate change

and yet they seem to vote for the status quo ... or simply others not offerring change ?

Here is a projection of the Dail by betting probabilities for seats

https://bsky.app/profile/peterdonaghy.bsky.social/post/3lbsdjrgt2c24

A projection if the favourite won each seat, by @peterdonaghy.bsky.social

What about if it was a proportional outcome?

I would think a third of the Irish population wants radical change at any time. Interesting to know if there are comparable figures for the past.

Well going by what happened in US we now know polls count gor nothing. Seems people lie?

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