This is now up to 2.3%.
Reposted from
David Schneider-Joseph
40–100 meter asteroid (enough to destroy a metropolitan area) named YR4 with 1.5% chance of Earth impact on Dec 22, 2032. Observation opportunities through April, and if an impact can't be ruled out by then, we need a deflection mission to avoid risks to cities in South Am., Africa, and Asia.
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