There have been 11 incidents of cable or pipeline damage in the Baltic Sea in 17 months. Russia denies involvement, but experts say they can't all be accidents or due to bad seamanship. “I can believe that one case could be an accident. Two cases in a row? Hardly. Three and more? Never, impossible.”
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Nato’s response has been swift, but it is complicated by the fact Trump no longer wants the US to be the primary guarantor of Europe’s security. And allowing incidents to go unpunished risks inviting more attacks. A senior European told us: “The Baltic Sea is just the beginning.”

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