For french yes but for exemple Uk submarine are completly dépendant of Lockheed Martin and i remind that 2 last test of Trident fail so we can expect that + the fact of the US part they are out of équation.
Main question is why only one country in Europe have real sovereignty after so much time ?
He will invade if he thinks its unlikely the UK and France will launch nuclear missiles on Moscow, risking the loss of London and Paris, to defend Estonia.
I don't see any NATO power actually launching nukes short of some extreme situation; we all hope the deterrent effect is enough. The question is predicting Putin; invading Ukraine was never rational, so we can't count on him being fully rational. He might decide it's worth the risk with the US out.
Putin is rational, his goal is to re-establish the Russian empire in its 19th century borders. If he was irrational he'd have already used nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Its that fear of nukes that is the key to containing him. All countries on Russia's borders need missiles able to flatten Moscow.
Comments
It‘s what we Europeans never have let them.
It‘s what they were always trying, in the information space. They are going for our minds, they want to twist our perceptions.
We’ve never let that happen and never will.
And we Europeans never have let them. And never will.
Defense is going UP again, since a couple years.
We need a European nuclear shield, too.
We already have the bombs, FR and UK.
What‘s sure and known is French are independent, up and down the tech tree.
Main question is why only one country in Europe have real sovereignty after so much time ?
We need to learn from it, and a European program.
https://youtu.be/_tC_5ryXY7U
https://www.nato.int/cps/cn/natohq/topics_136388.htm