Didn't the NAM or HRRR have a mini win with a snow event earlier this year? Maybe misremembering something mesoscale but I feel like it caught onto a slight synoptic shift around 48 hours out.
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Honestly, the NAM has sniffed out more than a handful of N-trending shifts in its history, but unfortunately I don’t think the issue here is suppression of a Miller A-type. I think the waves will fail to meet on time
No wishcasting here — this one is a Miller F for fail. I just recall a recent surprise NAM victory but given how fast time passes these days it might have been 1/30/2010 for all I know
Let’s co-author a “Miller F” paper hah. I will be watching the 0z HRRR of course. You never know what this evening’s wind obs over North America might reveal
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