And just like that — the risk of Earth impact by asteroid 2024 YR4 has dipped to nearly zero today. (0.3% to be exact — 10x less than yesterday) Officially downgraded from 3 on the Torino Scale to 1. Science works. - ThreadSky

About ThreadSky

ericholthaus.com • 2 days ago

And just like that — the risk of Earth impact by asteroid 2024 YR4 has dipped to nearly zero today. (0.3% to be exact — 10x less than yesterday)

Officially downgraded from 3 on the Torino Scale to 1.

Science works.

Comments

henk-muller.bsky.social•2 days ago

A lovely explanation is here (published before the chances went to zero). https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/feb/20/asteroid-2024-yr4-earth-scientists-dangers-space?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

bartbing.bsky.social•2 days ago

Fuuuuck

stefanurb.bsky.social•1 day ago

Downgrade to non public warning level TS=1 (green) confirmed by @esa.int

johnroblawson.bsky.social•2 days ago

Not knowing a lot about this area — did they find a “precovery” observation at last to constrain the trajectory?

ericholthaus.com•2 days ago

it doesn't look like it! just a batch of ~30 new observations over the past 2-3 days.

johnroblawson.bsky.social•2 days ago

Ah I love data.

roboterpapa.bsky.social•2 days ago

Nearly zero is not zero.

ericholthaus.com•2 days ago

Ahhh a fellow optimist. Greetings. ♥️

1neatgirl.bsky.social•1 day ago

Darn! I was really looking forward to the impact! 🌎☄️

huma.bsky.social•2 days ago

Booooooooooooooo

snyde043.bsky.social•1 day ago

Dammit

Posting Rules

Be respectful to others
No spam or self-promotion
Stay on topic
Follow Bluesky's terms of service

Comments

Posting Rules

Reply