i will bet that we see a newly nuclear-armed state sooner than august, 2026
Reposted from
Mike Black
Folks nobody who is in full compliance with IAEA safeguards is going to be capable of building a nuclear weapon on a timeframe less than 18 or so months, and that assumes going full overt breakout the instant you have enough raw and isolated (eg not spent normal fuel rods) special rocks on hand
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