Pure supposition, no data at all to back this up. BUT What if Peter Dutton loses his seat? Dickson is marginal, and the community Indie is getting momentum. Who would lead the Libs then? #Auspol - ThreadSky

polipedia.bsky.social • 16 hours ago

Pure supposition, no data at all to back this up.
BUT
What if Peter Dutton loses his seat? Dickson is marginal, and the community Indie is getting momentum.
Who would lead the Libs then?
#Auspol

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twitter-exile.bsky.social•12 hours ago

You think #EllieSmith will do better than #AliFrance?

polipedia.bsky.social•2 hours ago

We did this data dive last month. Alli France didn't grow the first preference vote. https://bsky.app/profile/polipedia.bsky.social/post/3lg4uxj5lvk2t

twitter-exile.bsky.social•23 minutes ago

Any recent polling on Dickson. Like 2024/2025?

polipedia.bsky.social•16 hours ago

Can't see them going for deputy Sussan Ley.
Dan Tehan could also lose Wannon.
D'ya reckon Hastie might give it a burl?
What about Good One Angus?

gennerveevy.bsky.social•16 hours ago

Angus is the most likely.

Antic 😳 is about as far right as Dutton though.

polipedia.bsky.social•16 hours ago

Antic is basically in charge of SA libs now and has say in preselections.

beckjoinyourunion.bsky.social•12 hours ago

I think they know Angus couldn’t lead his way out of a paper bag. It’d pretty much have to be Hastie since they’ll never take on Bridget Archer.

kalianthony.bsky.social•16 hours ago

It would be great, but I don't think they will. I believe that the new independent will split the vote of Ali France and Dutton will get back in. Hope I'm wrong. I've protested against him for years.

voicesofwentworth.bsky.social•11 hours ago

Happily we have preferential voting in the lower house so splitting the vote wouldn’t impact the result
Having an indi run won’t cause a voter to preference Dutton over France

mcnamaramp.bsky.social•13 hours ago

Anus would surely be unsupportable by the cross bench. Hastie thinks Albo can somehow stop Chinese shils operating in International waters. How stong is his grasp of international relations?

comradezaheer.bsky.social•16 hours ago

Probably Watergate Angus Taylor

autistic-pineapple.bsky.social•16 hours ago

I have no idea, but what a dream outcome that'd be.

archedeyebrow.bsky.social•16 hours ago

It'll be "Good One Angus"... until they make a way for the Frydenberg Disaster to worm his way back into parliament.

oldgirl54.bsky.social•16 hours ago

Probably Angus Taylor but could lead to an internal squabble
Federal Liberals are bereft of talent
#auspol

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