There's a great deal of doubt about that. 4% of voters said they were motivated by f/p and >60% of voters said US support for Israel is "about right" or "not enough." Of those who said "too much," Harris won 2/3. Where's the "significant tranche" who voted Trump because AIPAC pushed Dems on Israel? - ThreadSky

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gregorybrown.bsky.social • 103 days ago

There's a great deal of doubt about that. 4% of voters said they were motivated by f/p and >60% of voters said US support for Israel is "about right" or "not enough." Of those who said "too much," Harris won 2/3. Where's the "significant tranche" who voted Trump because AIPAC pushed Dems on Israel?

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gregorybrown.bsky.social•103 days ago

And as @AOC never tires of pointing out, AIPAC also supports Republicans. There's no logic to the idea Harris lost because of excessive support for Israel, let alone AIPAC lobbying.

gregorybrown.bsky.social•103 days ago

In Michigan, Slotkine won. Here in NV, Rosen won. Harris lost both states. There's an empirical case that Harris lagged because she was seen by many Jewish voters as too weak in response to anti-Israel campus and urban unrest.

schraubd.bsky.social•103 days ago

But that is far more unlikely. Jews were one of the few groups for which Harris held the line in vote tallies compared to Biden. Contrast that to Muslims in Michigan, where she just collapsed.

gregorybrown.bsky.social•103 days ago

Actually no. Only among Arab-Americans in Dearborn where local Dem electeds pointedly did not support the ticket. Slotkine nevertheless won there. Harris won Black Muslims in Detroit handily.

AOC is upset about Bowman and Bush who were both deeply flawed candidates

schraubd.bsky.social•103 days ago

The *logic* works just fine. Whether it turns out to be correct empirically is another matter. I’m skeptical it will be (I’m mostly persuaded by “it was inflation, stupid”). But it’s not transparently absurd, nor the sort of idea one could only come up with due to latent Jewbaiting tendencies.

schraubd.bsky.social•103 days ago

A significant tranche think “withholding my vote [for whatever reason] will make Dems listen to me.” This has been the logic of, eg, Greens, forever. And it does seem to reflect the views of some Muslim Trump or Stein supporters.

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