It's weird that he even acknowledges the existence of People Who Are Not Nate Silver, given the percent of his brainpower dedicated to reassuring himself that he's God's Special Statistics Boy.
Jesus. I blocked Nate Silver on Twitter back in the day because every time I replied to his COVID idiocy the post went so viral that his name trended on the sidebar and I ended up feeling guilty.
Now his posts just give me traumatic flashbacks to Uncut Jems.
Oh wow. Just a massive cry for help. Well I’m sure he’ll be receptive to people online politely nudging him to consider treatment.
I guess he’s at the phase where he’s replacing his old friends and coming up with new habits/routines to ensure he doesn’t hear dissenting voices (vibes really).
I wonder what type of shame paraphernalia gambling addicts have? Back in the day you’d have a notebook. In this case, is it just his phone? Like what is the thing he knows that if his peers saw, there’d be no denying he has an addiction? Maybe it’s a 7 figure invoice?
yeah, don’t these services work just by having the computer take the money in column A and the money in column B and set the payouts to make them line up after the rake? like, there’s not some guy in HQ monitoring darts betting and saying “oh shit this guy is good,” right?
Now I'm thinking of those physicists who had a conference in Las Vegas and got banned for life because they didn't do any gambling. Can't imagine why that came up.
Would a person with a gambling problem talk in a weird hypothetical manner about how they may have bet on darts based on the manly the competitors looked and how they may have been so good at betting that the website they may have been using changed their odds to acknowledge how smart they are?
This is the point when I stop making of fun of Silvers gambling addiction, and start awkwardly laughing every time it comes up until someone changes the subject
That guy probably bet on the Olympics shooting competition based on country (USA) and whoever had the most aiming assistance doodads hanging off their ballcap and glasses.
... ok, but that doesn't indicate that they thought he was sharp, that indicates that his bet was so big that it caused a shift in the pool. He should know that. How the fuck does he not know that, and how the fuck much is he betting?
Hey Guys! This is Money Mike I know how to beat VEGAS AND SO CAN YOU! Call Now! I have the LOCK PICKS OF THE WEEK for NFL week one and for the Para Olympics. Call 1-900-555 8473
There are some professional gamblers that make a living doing it with carefully calculated risk. Then there's dudes that are addicted to gambling and need Peter Thiel to bankroll their crippling habit and hope being a stats guy hides it a little.
“Badass” isn’t the term I’d use, but throwing darts accurately and consistently is a real skill. The pros make it look easy to throw a 180 but that’s why they’re pros!
I know this from experience - I once found myself playing the number two ranked player in Japan for beers. He did not stand out in anyway, until he showed me his name on the darts. It only took two games for me to realize how outclassed I was, and how many people were finding it hilarious.
I was so clueless. First game, when he closed 20 and scored 80 on his first throw, I thought he was just the luckiest guy I’d seen. Everyone around me was saying “who is that idiot?” in Japanese, but I didn’t register that because my language skills were worse than my dart skills.
Not that he’s going to listen to us, because he’s Very Smart and Can Stop Anytime He Wants, but is there a “You May Have A Gambling Problem” checklist we can send?
I dunno. There’s always more billionaires out there he can debase himself for. Just float him 50k for this can’t miss 3 team parlay and he’ll say Trump has a 400% chance of winning.
You can, as it turns out, make your own heroin at home, provided you have sufficient opium poppies, industrial solvents, and a willingness to filter plant bits out of your heroin with your own (or someone else’s) blood. Not surprisingly, this is an HIV risk!
Jeez I remember a couple weeks ago talking about this and it was like, kind of anecdotal / implied based on stuff in his book. But "I am making enough volume of idiot bets on minor sports that bookies are moving lines due to my $$$" is basically proof positive.
The worst part of this story is that he missed the golden opportunity to choose his World Series of Darts competitors by throwing darts.
Hell, have one of _them_ throw the dart, and place weird side-bets on the outcome of _that_ throw!
Let's get degenerate up in this bitch!
The 538 crew seems to really like the “we’ll bet on anything!” bookie sites, they still bring those up talking about politics last I checked but they definitely did when Nate was still there
So he’d have an incentive to make things look good for Trump to influence betting markets while he personally places bets on Harris, right? That might explain why he’s weighting partisan polls like Patriot Polling higher than YouGov.
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Now his posts just give me traumatic flashbacks to Uncut Jems.
I guess he’s at the phase where he’s replacing his old friends and coming up with new habits/routines to ensure he doesn’t hear dissenting voices (vibes really).
Is it all just a "follow the money/politics bore me now" cynical money grab?
A couple years ago, sports gambling legalized, and he decides to lean full into it, to get as much attention/bags of cash.
https://youtu.be/xDFqRFODiMg?feature=shared
AKA, a dingus
It’s too busy screaming“You’re brilliant! So important the world turns around you!! You are the Best Boy!!” at him.
A 1st level AD&d magic user has dart proficiency!
No, Nate, that’s called “recognizing a mark”
That’s not how random works, shouldn’t he know that?
...bets?
maybe not eh.
Hell, have one of _them_ throw the dart, and place weird side-bets on the outcome of _that_ throw!
Let's get degenerate up in this bitch!
As someone who worked in bookies in the UK for nearly a decade, that dude has a problem
i see what you did there