"CMIP6 models show that the Earth likely will reach 2°C of global warming by the 2040s without significant policy changes"
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF003330
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF003330
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https://probablefutures.org
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dsx2vdn7gpY