"Iran has limited options to respond.... The danger, however, is that Israel has opened a Pandora’s box: the worst Iranian response might also be the most likely—a decision to withdraw from its arms control commitments and build nuclear weapons in earnest." www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/real-... - ThreadSky

About ThreadSky

williambendix.bsky.social • 9 days ago

"Iran has limited options to respond.... The danger, however, is that Israel has opened a Pandora’s box: the worst Iranian response might also be the most likely—a decision to withdraw from its arms control commitments and build nuclear weapons in earnest."
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/israel/real-threat-iran-tehran-most-dangerous-option-responding-israel

Comments

williambendix.bsky.social•9 days ago

"Iran’s first problem is distance, and its second problem is Israel’s defenses. Because of both, Teheran has little ability to use its air force against Israel. What’s more, with roughly 700 miles of Iraq, Syria, and Jordan separating them, Iran cannot mount a ground attack against Israel."

williambendix.bsky.social•9 days ago

"It seems unlikely that another [Iranian] missile or drone attack would have much impact on Israel. Israel still has formidable missile defenses, its population is well sheltered, and Iranian munitions have small payloads and are relatively few in number."

williambendix.bsky.social•9 days ago

"Although Iran is routinely ranked as a leading state sponsor of terrorism, a terror attack on Israel, especially in the short run, would be equally hard. Israel’s counterterror defenses are formidable, and terror attacks, especially large damaging ones, can’t be conjured up overnight."

williambendix.bsky.social•9 days ago

"Iran already has enough highly enriched uranium to build several nuclear weapons. This is containerized and believed to be stored at three different locations, and it is unclear whether Israel will be able to get all of it in the ongoing military strikes."

williambendix.bsky.social•9 days ago

"The best way to prevent Iranian reconstitution would be an aggressive pursuit of a new nuclear deal with Tehran, at precisely the moment when Iran’s leadership will be least interested in one given their likely outrage at the Israeli attack."

Posting Rules

Be respectful to others
No spam or self-promotion
Stay on topic
Follow Bluesky's terms of service

Comments

Posting Rules

Reply