Literally the most predictable possible outcome of Labour’s hard turn to right wing posturing.

They gain exactly no votes from the right.

They lose their votes from the left.

Also predictable: they will try to go further right, intensifying the pattern.
A complex switch of votes in various direction.

Aggregate numbers suggest a limited number of direct Labour/Reform switchers

In this contest, Reform consolidated the right-of-centre anti-Labour vote, while Labour lost voters to non-voting, and could not squeeze Greens as Reform did Tories

Comments