It doesn't sound like "doom" to me. It's also worth considering that there are people outside of "the internet" and the anglosphere who use Esperanto and their experience may be different from what you've experienced.
i know theres many native speakers but they ALL speak more than one language. thats where its lost. its gonna be lost in favor of something most people actually understand.
"Native speakers" don't really factor in. It's about people who learn it by choice and use it by choice. "Most people" will go on to do what "most people" do and Esperanto will still carry on. Whatever you mean by "nerd only" and however much it actually applies, it sounds like a good thing.
I mean it won't gain traction as a useful language unless you can give a very large population of people a very good reason to learn it (i.e. you won't communicate in any other language)
I communicate *in* Esperanto all the time. Esperanto has been very useful for me. Way more useful than German, for example. Esperanto is about connecting people. It's not about "gaining traction as a useful language."
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