Profile avatar
adambonica.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science at Stanford | Exploring money in politics, campaigns and elections, ideology, the courts, and inequality | Author of The Judicial Tug of War cup.org/2LEoMrs | Pro-democracy
139 posts 11,448 followers 1,000 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter

I’ll keep pushing this line of analysis because I’m increasingly convinced the clearest path out of this mess is for Dems to adopt a relentless anti-corruption, anti-inequality, anti-oligarchy, pro-democracy platform. The Dem leadership hasn’t realized it yet, but they’re now a reform party.

How many federal workers would DOGE need to fire to make up for Musk not paying his fair share of taxes? Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce. Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.

The DOGE firings have nothing to do with “efficiency” or “cutting waste.” They’re a direct push to weaken federal agencies perceived as liberal. This was evident from the start, and now the data confirms it: targeted agencies overwhelmingly those seen as more left-leaning. 🧵⬇️

I’m unsure of the best strategy for Dems at the moment, but clinging to ‘business as usual’ is among the worst. Highly recommend this excellent piece by @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social that applies lessons from abroad. Creating friction against backsliding is crucial and that likely means mass protests.

A handful of federal judges are showing more backbone than the entirety of Congress We are watching Congress collapse as a governing institution before our eyes

Diversity and inclusion are racism. Censorship is free speech. Constraints on the executive are tyranny.

“The problem is no longer “money in politics”; it’s just money. Anything we can do to break its concentration—through taxation, antitrust enforcement, and public ownership of public goods—will help reduce the political power it commands.” www.bostonreview.net/articles/how...

Here's my new working paper w/ Aaron Kaufman & Chris Celaya. Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...

Campaign finance has profoundly changed since Citizens United. The overall story is one of growing inequality. But the patterns differ by party—and do so in ways that help explain the GOP's oligarchical tendencies. These charts break down the evolving landscape and provide some context. 🧵

Deleted a post about data for the Trump campaign going missing from the FEC website. Looks to be a data issue after Trump renamed his campaign cmte post-election, which is why he's missing when searching for pres cands. Thanks to @dwillis.bsky.social and @samlearner.bsky.social for clearing it up!

oh

Years of studying American politics taught me this: In times of political turmoil, focus on democracy's rays of hope. Do everything you can to keep them lit. They may soon shine like the sun—and sooner than we might expect.

Not-so-fun fact: In 2024, the combined salaries of 2M federal employees totaled $213B (avg. $106K each, per OMB). Coincidentally, Elon Musk’s net worth rose by $213B in 2024 (per Bloomberg). Helps to put in perspective where the real inefficiencies lie.

One of the real problems is that too many people conveniently believe the opposite of diversity is merit, and the opposite of inclusion is high standards. Yeah, that’s just not the case. (See: Pete Hegseth among countless others.)

If we can't afford the cost of groceries, we definitely can't afford the cost of billionaires.

~Party of the working class~

New 2024 data: Over 50% of GOP fundraising now comes from just 100 mega-donors. Trump’s embrace of the billionaire class—and their embrace of him—will only supercharge this trend.

One hill I’ll die on is that humanity, at its core, has more good than bad. Recognizing that isn’t downplaying the bad; it’s about acknowledging our immense capacity for good. The entire arc of human progress, including democracy, rests on this belief. Now more than ever, let’s not lose sight of it.

We’re told weak courts threaten democracy, but in the U.S. the real danger is that courts are far too politically powerful. While Dems clung to outdated norms and lofty legal ideals, believing a strong judiciary would safeguard democracy, the GOP was busy turning it into a tool to undermine it.

I’m excited to share DIME v4.0 is live! This release covers through the 2024 cycle and contains records for 850M+ itemized political contributions and ideological scores for millions of candidates, PACs, and donors. stanford.io/3DJDCYm

This is my theme song. In the US especially, many say majority rule threatens minority rights or the rule of law. But if anything, powerful (geographic, economic) *minorities* use minority rule institutions to crush both majorities and less powerful minorities (racial, immigrant, LGBT, etc)

This is one of many reasons why @runforsomething.bsky.social exclusively works with younger (under 40) candidates running to state and local office.

Long-form Friday read: www.texasmonthly.com/news-politic...

Striking how every generation of Democrats is more progressive than the last. This isn't a passing trend, but a systematic shift in how generations approach Democratic politics. Gerontocracy actively preserves an older, more conservative Democratic Party seemingly at odds with its future.

Age polarization in the Democratic Party is absolutely massive. Did you know that more voters under 30 voted for Bernie 2016 than voted for Clinton + Trump combined? And that despite having few young voters in the GOP, Trump got more youth votes in the primary than Clinton.

Thinking about the time I had a paper on Forbes 400 political donations rejected because a reviewer said there’s no reason to think their money has any influence over the policy-making process. Glad we’ve finally settled that debate.

Democratic Party's generational divide: While 38% of Democratic voters are Millennials or Gen Z, they make up 11% of Cong. Dems and 0% of committee leadership. Baby Boomers: 30% of voters, 67% of committee leaders. Healthy parties modernize their leadership pipeline.