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andersschroder.bsky.social
Analyst at the Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI). Ex MP for the Swedish Green Party. Politics, philosophy, history, etc. Radical centrist.
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Detta är ett sånt gigantiskt självmål. universitetslararen.se/2025/05/08/i...

Short thread (hopefully in plain English) on the nuclear deterrence dynamics in the India-Pakistan relationship and where this goes if escalation continues. <1>

The Trump admin following the playbook of nazi ideologue Carl Schmitt. "The sovereign is he who decides on the exception."

Running after Trump’s moving goalposts is a fool’s errand. What Europe needs to focus on is capability, not percentage of GDP

NEW: @nbcnews.com confirmed last night that the Trump admin almost sent a dozen men from Vietnam, the Philippines, Laos, and Mexico to Libya, a country described as a “hellscape” for migrants where some have been SOLD INTO SLAVERY and many have been subjected to extraordinary horrors.

Thynberg gör som han vill, men hade han verkligen behövt avgå pga en dick pic på Grindr? Det är väl bara ett säkerhetsproblem om man tycker det är pinsamt, och har man lagt upp den där så signalerar det väl motsatsen? www.dn.se/sverige/nya-...

The Vatican right now

Stark Hamilton-vibe i regeringens pressmeddelande idag. Kungliga Svärdsordern för tapperhet i strid har delats ut. 2 silverorder har getts till officerare för insatser i Afghanistan, men 2 silverorder och 1 guldorder delas ut anonymt. Vilka de är eller vad de gjort är för hemligt för att berätta om.

Detta är lovande, särskilt faktumet att PR-konsulter tvingas redovisa sina uppdragsgivare när de lobbar mot politiker är en stor vinst för transparens och öppenhet. www.dn.se/sverige/snar...

My VE Day was nothing like our image of it today. I hope we can honour what it really meant | Sheila Hancock

Trumps disapproval rating is already at a historic low, and the economic damage he is causing has barely started to affect Americans yet.

Turns out reforms are quick when you do them poorly and with no consideration for the law.

reporting on this has really got to get better about communicating the magnitude of the breach here. if you read the nyt article with minimal context, you would have no sense that this was watergate-level impeachable misconduct

Swedish journalist Joakim Medin, who was detained in Turkey on March 28, has been charged with membership of an armed terrorist group, terrorist propaganda, and speaking ill of Erdogan. As seen here, the evidence presented by the prosecutor is ridiculously flimsy: www.mlsaturkey.com/en/two-separ...

NEW from @nytimes.com: A bone-chilling account. A Venezuelan man detained alongside the 238 sent to El Salvador on March 15 seems to have disappeared off the face of the earth. His name isn't among the names of those sent to CECOT that day and no one spotted him among those men. He's just... gone.

The global boost for progressive parties continues. Australia's labor party, just like the liberal party in Canada, has regained momentum ahead of this spring's election, due to voter's concerns that right wing parties wont stand up to Trump. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...

So many comentators insisted *for a decade* we were exaggerating, that it wasn't fascism, that our fears were hysterical Unless they properly grapple with that, they shouldn't be listened to or trusted again

The idea that Greenlanders would give up their political rights and their sovereignty to this crazy despot after a few tv ads is so deluded that Denmark should encourage the US to go with this approach.

My assumption 2 months ago was that the US would try to pick some countries/regions at the time to trade war with. It's easier to win if you don't go after everyone at once. I guess I underestimated how stupid they were, but maybe they've trialed and errored their way to this strategy now?

The insiders seem to have had a 20min warning before the public

TL;DR: The new U.S. tariff rate against our two largest trading partners is either 10%, 25% or 35%, and so far no one I've reached out to at the White House is able to tell me which.

I was told there are no allies anymore, only interests.

This is fine. 😐 on.ft.com/42eopqA

„No reason to escalate while the damage grows organically.“ Interesting summary by Jakob Hanke Vela on the mood in Brussels regarding the Trump tariffs.

This is 100 % consistent with every action Trump has taken. He has broken the Iran nuclear deal, the trade deal he signed with Canada, the US promise to not use IRS info against immigrants, etc. If I was a lender to the US I'd try to get my money out now.

This is bad unless you are warmongering russia, having 50% of your remaining reserves in Yuan. In that case, this is catastrophic

I've been reading Ian Kershaw's "Popular Opinion and Political Dissent in the Third Reich" about how most Germans only resisted nazi policies when their own wallets were threatened, and somehow that's weirdly hopeful reading when Trump is burning down the economy.

Både Cas Mudde i Aftonbladet och Lars Strannegård i DN skriver om attacker på amerikanska universitet. De skriver om att erbjuda forskare fristad i Europa. Båda är lite vaga på om detta bör erbjudas "toppforskare" eller de mest utsatta. www.aftonbladet.se/kultur/a/8qK... www.dn.se/kultur/lars-...

Currently 50 states want to negotiate with the US on tariffs. But who will they negotiate with? The Trump team has not shown themselves to be efficient managers of the government bureaucracy. Particularly on trade, Trump seems to want to micromanage. This means that negotiations may take a long time

Trump administration is acting like they can win every conflict through sheer force. But if you take on the entire world at the same time, I don't think you'll always have escalation dominance, even if you're the US.

I guess eventually this is how it ends. The question is, how bad does it have o get before most Republicans decide that challenging Trump is less bad for them than allowing the economy to burn to the ground.