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andrewmorral.bsky.social
Greenwald Chair in Gun Policy at RAND. Director of the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research: https://www.ncgvr.org Co-Director of RAND’s Gun Policy In America initiative: https://www.rand.org/research/gun-policy.html.
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Been teaching @rand.org's useful Truth Decay framework for many yrs now in my Public Policy Ethics courses in a unit on policy discourse. If ever the consequences of diminished reliance on facts & analysis in public life for undermining govt institutions and decision-making were evident, it's now...

www.csis.org/analysis/whe...

Whoa. This is huge.

Good points. I’m not sure whether or what messaging might cut through, but the relative lack of outrage among policymakers about the potential dismantling of our country’s scientific infrastructure means we should clarify the potential consequences on all fronts.

And a million instrumental variables papers were born!

🛟 That last-ditch chemo trial your family member was hoping to be in 🥙 The investigation of a food-borne illness outbreak in the next town over 🧠The study looking for preventable causes of Alzheimer’s 🧪The assurance that TAXPAYER-PAID-FOR studies & data collection see the light of day

New from me at @cato.org: "Officials Resign En Masse at Justice Department After Political Intervention in Adams Case"

The peril in squeezing U.S. health research

“Generating, maintaining, and even increasing force readiness in light of changing climate threats is a key component of meeting high-level U.S. strategic goals, from defending the homeland to deterring aggression and strategic attacks.” www.rand.org/pubs/researc...

Submit your research for a special collection – A Decade of ERPO: What does the evidence say about the use, effectiveness and opportunities for improving implementation + impact of this important firearm violence prevention tool? Submit for consideration: journals.sagepub.com/topic/collec...

How to get 146% return on investment? The NIH. That's just the economic benefit. Biomedical research promotes human health.

Secure storage saves lives. We never truly know everything that’s going on with our kids.

Hate to say I told you so, but…

This is a de facto massive budget cut to research universities. We are talking Great Recession size impacts.

An excellent show that is not well known is “The Terror” on Netflix. It’s not a horror show, rather historical fiction with some mysterious elements. Great actors (including Jared Harris).

Here is what the censoring of data.cdc.gov looks like over time

Pleased and relieved to see the MMWR and several key CDC datasets available again online (including BRFFS and YRBSS)

The entire archive of CDC datasets can be found here. HUGE shoutout to data archivists- this work is important 👏🙌🏻 archive.org/details/2025...

A framework that defines optimal outcomes in criminal courts and using it to interpret existing literature on racial disparities in pretrial detention, sentencing, and community corrections outcomes, from Shawn Bushway, Andrew Jordan, Derek Neal, and Steven Raphael https://www.nber.org/papers/w33403

Hopefully CDC will recognize the broad usefulness of the YRBS and restore access to it soon. Until then, efforts like this one are needed. Denying access to government survey data impedes science and prevention efforts, so hurts the public. And all bc of a gender identity question??

Why Is Homeowners Insurance Getting So Expensive?

Excited to announce the 2025 @njgvrc.bsky.social Firearm Suicide Prevention Fellows! This amazing group of young scholars comes from so many fields + from all over the US. We have such a great day planned! @alliebond.bsky.social lp.constantcontactpages.com/cu/ZNQxCCV/F...

Seven years ago this week, @rand.org published "Truth Decay," the book that @jekavanagh.bsky.social and I wrote about the diminishing role of facts and analysis in American public life. #TruthDecay 1/10

I was interested to see the CL-450 Super Scoopers being lauded by fire officials in LA in this story. Over a decade ago, I was part of a RAND team doing a cost-benefit analysis to determine the right mix of air-attack aircraft for the U.S. Forest Service...🧵 www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025...

Looking to curate your own private feed that also helps you discover new voices? I highly recommend the DISCOVER feed. You can mark what kind of posts you like and don't like by clicking on 3 dots at bottom right. Thanks @why.bsky.team! More: publish.obsidian.md/debbieohi/cu... #BlueSkyTips

And don’t forget the accompanying dataset with thousands of study details and results abstracted from the studies that do exist. That dataset could support a lot of useful work! Thanks Dan!

Dorset mathematician Colin Beveridge figures out an Elizabethan card trick www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

wow Claude has gotten really good at navigating survey codebooks. kinda a workflow game changer in terms of time saved.

A good and thoughtful piece about the harms and benefits of progressive language policing. https://www.vitalcitynyc.org/articles/the-problem-with-the-criminal-legal-system

I am no longer in philanthropy and now less connected to violence reduction research but now is the time to revisit both the 2020-21 surge and ongoing declines. In last 2 days I’ve read accounts from Chicago, Oakland, Knoxville, DC which attribute focus on highest risk people and places and guns +

Progress takes time, but better data leads to a better understanding of key questions that need to be asked and answered to advance the decrease in firearms violence. If you have moment check out this POV I recently wrote: www.norc.org/research/lib...

Attn crime & justice research folks: Welcome NIJ Director Nancy La Vigne to Bluesky @nancylavigne.bsky.social

New timeline, same problems, same solution

The Onion's Supreme Court brief is a must read.

Entropy is one of those formulas that many of us learn, swallow whole, and even use regularly without really understanding. (E.g., where does that “log” come from? Are there other possible formulas?) Yet there's an intuitive & almost inevitable way to arrive at this expression.

Added more gun researchers to this starter pack who joined BlueSky. Please share and lmk if you’d like to be added! @daniel-semenza.bsky.social @vitalcitynyc.bsky.social @meganranney.bsky.social @sonalirajan.bsky.social @thetrace.org @giffords.org @everytown.bsky.social go.bsky.app/G9zEmHs

www.rand.org/research/gun...

Honestly, they buried the lede. The really cool thing is that the professional will be 110% male in 2510.

Peter Miller (on Bluesky?) has done an impressive job marshaling evidence about swings in violence rates over time to raise questions about how well the lead poisoning theory can explain them. https://medium.com/@tgof137/debunking-the-lead-crime-hypothesis-949e6fc2b0dc

Incredible. Any theory about what has driven gun violence down so sharply and data to support it?