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arenaguy.bsky.social
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Study begun pre-COVID finds remote work increased sleep by 1/2 hr/night, decreased commute by 4.5 hr/week replaced with work, family & leisure and led to healthier eating. Remote and hybrid employees report higher job satisfaction and well-being. farmingdale-observer.com/2025/05/16/s...

Trump: “Maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls…They don’t need 250 pencils, they can have 5.” Also Trump: accepts new Air Force One worth $400M from Qatari royal family.

Please watch & share this video. This state sponsored violence is hard to watch, but if we turn away & stay silent, we're complicit. If it can happen to them, it can happen to you. It's up to each of us to SPEAK OUT! If you support the immigrant community reply with #OnYourSide to show you care.

This is what front-loading looks like ahead of tariffs. Great chart from Arbor:

Worries about global economic growth continue to pressure international oil prices, with both Brent and WTI trading below $60 a barrel this morning. Moreover, the impact of concerns over weakening demand is amplified by the prospect of rising supply. #economy #markets #oil

As Friedrich Merz becomes German chancellor, Emmanuel Macron may finally have found the partner he needs for France and Germany to reshape European leadership.

Imagine if when we invaded Iraq, three years in we only took a sliver of the country at the cost of 800,000 men. Would the conventional wisdom be that we are winning? No? Then why do some think Russia is?

Tariffs. Here goes the domino's. www.cnbc.com/2025/04/29/u...

UPS announcing that it is cutting 20,000 jobs because of fewer Amazon deliveries is just the first of many reports like this to come. Empty ports = less goods to sell coming from overseas. Less goods from oversees = layoffs across the transportation industry.

It’s only getting much play in the trade/transport niche press. But pretty real product shortages beginning in mid-May or so are already locked in. They’re maybe a thousand miles out in the Pacific Ocean. Modern trade takes place in gargantuan container ships. There are very detailed records …

YARDENI: “Industry analysts are scrambling to lower their S&P 500 earnings growth forecasts for the remaining three quarters of this year. They are anticipating that if the tariff war between the US and China doesn't end soon, the result might be a recession during the second half of this year.”

There will be some big time financial pain this summer Because this portends a disaster

This was an incredibly excellent talk by Eliot.

Never seen this before.

Tariffs already doing major supply chain damage

An early sign of the trucking industry collapsing in part due to a sharp, tariff-induced dropoff of container shipping.

Five below is a variety store that sells toys, stuffed animals, tshirts/etc, geared at teens. I buy my phone charger cables there because they’re dirt cheap ($5)

Complete lies from Trump & co. It’s clear that real supply chain damage is already done. It cannot be fixed in a hurry. I’m gonna enjoy watching this play out 🍿

Medicaid covers... -40% of births nationwide -50% of kids with special needs -72 million people in total Remember this as Republicans move to gut the program to finance tax cuts that will overwhelmingly go to the richest 1% of Americans.  "Party of family values."

Peter Dutton made a new election ad, and it’s surprisingly honest and informative. #auspol

Russian student Daria Kozyreva, 19, was sentenced to almost three years in Russian prison last week. She was punished for taping a paper with poems by Taras Shevchenko (a Ukrainian poet) to Shevchenko's monument in Russia on the anniversary of the war. In her last word, Daria said:⤵️

An excellent exploration of the dimensions of bad strategy from @ldfreedman.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...

owning a small business in 2025…

evil meets evil

New consumer sentiment data just out for April: Americans’ expectations for how the economy will fare over the next year are now at their worst in 45 years. Consumer confidence is down 40% since Trump’s inauguration, including a 20% drop among Republicans.

NEW 🧵 The number of people travelling from Europe to the US in recent weeks has plummeted by as much as 35%, as travellers have cancelled plans in response to Trump’s policies and rhetoric, and horror stories from the border. Story: www.ft.com/content/6dc1...

why is *every* newspaper/programme running with the headline "tariffs are paused" when they haven't been. What's happened is that every country (except China) gets a flat rate of 10% for 90 days.

Wow. Painting himself as a hero For (partially) pausing the shitshow he created.

Omg. 🎯