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armscontrolwonk.bsky.social
Professor at the Middlebury Institute & host of the Arms Control Wonk Podcast.
341 posts 10,235 followers 98 following
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Posts 25 Comments 25

It's the Kusong Tank Factory PUG, aka the Machine Plant Managed by Ho Chol Yong. 40.0562, 125.222°

submitted 4 hours ago • 3 comments

Defenses aren’t as good as people think but also conventional ballistic missiles aren’t accurate enough/large enough to do much damage at these ranges. This captures both dynamics, the Israelis missed the missile and the missile missed the airport.

submitted 8 hours ago • 3 comments

Very great on Trump’s Iran deal plans, with Aaron Stein and Jeffrey Lewis. @aaronstein1.bsky.social @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1220...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Honestly this is just incredible content.

submitted 3 days ago • 340 comments

Rubio dual-hatted as SECSTATE and APNSA -- aka a "reverse Kissinger." Kissinger stayed APNSA for Ford after becoming SECSTATE in Sep 73. He was dual-hatted until Nov 75 but it was pretty dysfunctional.

submitted 3 days ago • 3 comments

Also, this is more evidence of something we see in the DPRK. Kim Jong Un seems to sincerely love children.

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

There are a TON of interesting photos from the launch of the new DPRK warship, but most interesting to me is that I've never seen the senior leadership's children.

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

I mean, it boosts, coasts and reenters like a duck ...

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

As @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social and my colleague @lauraegrego.bsky.social explain, Golden Dome and Israel's Iron Dome couldn't be more different. One has limited capabilities against relatively slow, close-range attacks. The other is complete fantasy. @gbrumfiel.bsky.social covers it well here:

submitted 12 days ago • 1 comment

👋

submitted 12 days ago • 2 comments

At the Carnegie nonproliferation conference and IAEA chief Rafael M. Grossi spent a bit of time making the case for nuclear-propulsion in commercial shipping. Really interesting.

submitted 12 days ago • 1 comment

“It’s the difference between a kayak and a battleship.” The incomparable @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social on Golden Dome vs Iron Dome. www.npr.org/2025/04/22/g...

submitted 12 days ago • 2 comments

Our statement on the cancellation of the Iranian Foreign Minister’s session at #nukecon.

submitted 13 days ago • 0 comments

Jimmy Action has entered the fray.

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

FWIW, while @generalmatter.bsky.social is cagey about its enrichment technology, the trademark application is lists, for goods and services, "chemical enrichment to separate isotopes." tsdr.uspto.gov#caseNumber=9...

submitted 15 days ago • 2 comments

The @anduriltech.bsky.social / Palantir / @spacex.extwitter.link "golden dome" proposal is apparently just a tracking layer (ie. the sensors, not the shooters.) It's a proliferated version of the old SBIRS-low/STSS constellation, which is potentially a good idea. www.reuters.com/business/aer...

submitted 16 days ago • 7 comments

This is a nice illustration of how satellite instruments work -- you can see that there are three lower resolution color bands (red, blue, green) and a higher resolution panchromatic band (monochrome).

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment

I will not do better and you should block me before I transgress again.

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

This is exactly what happened with North Korea. Bush abandoned the 1994 Agreed Framework because it had "Clinton" on it, promised a better deal, then settled for a much worse one in the Six Party Talks. Still, better than the alternative.

submitted 22 days ago • 3 comments

The ACW podcast with @aaronstein1.bsky.social and yours truly is now available as a video podcast. We'll get better -- but probably not less ugly. youtu.be/GyFcSmm_4vc

submitted 22 days ago • 3 comments

Can't wait to heat Ankit's talk. In the meantime, I made him sign a copy of his book.

submitted 27 days ago • 1 comment

Latest podcast with @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social :: Orbital Collisions armscontrolwonk.libsyn.com/orbital-coll...

submitted 27 days ago • 0 comments

@armscontrolwonk.bsky.social this is for you

submitted 32 days ago • 1 comment

It would be really funny if eventually Minuteman-III will get another LEP. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... #NukeSky

submitted 37 days ago • 3 comments

Here is Kim Jong Un horsing around with Jo Yong Won at the Central Cadres Training School during a theory lecture. Jo is the senior party secretary so the joke is something like teasing the most senior party official (other than Kim himself) about whether he's taking good notes in a 101 class.

submitted 43 days ago • 2 comments