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asgerolsen.bsky.social
Economist
7 posts 24 followers 50 following
Regular Contributor

Undskyld @tv2danmark.bsky.social, men I kan simpelthen ikke lave gule breaking bjælker på denne graf. Tallene er IKKE sæsonkorrigerede - og eksporten har de seneste år vist store stigninger i 4. kvt., og efterfølgende fald i 1. kvt. Laver I så også breaking, når ledigheden stiger ved årsskiftet?

"The common warning of countries affected by the Treaty of Munich, the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and the Yalta Agreement" - Foreign Ministers of #Ukraine, #Estonia, #Czechia, #Latvia, #Lithuania, #Moldova and #Poland published a great piece in the New York Times.

Netop!

Desværre fører vi sjældent tidsserier så langt tilbage 😅

To compete effectively with China this century, we need strong allies, economic ties to free world, impactful foreign assistance, global media, organizations that promote democracy, & an innovative economy fueled by our research universities, ie the exact opposite of Trumps policies.

Så meget for rationel forventningsdannelse!

"The bond market is not like the Supreme Court, or Paul Weiss, or Columbia University, or any of the other institutions Trump has conquered, co-opted, or corrupted." "He cannot scare it into submission. He cannot bribe it." from @jvl.bsky.social www.thebulwark.com/p/trump-fina...

"This is what arbitrary, absolute power looks like. And this is why the men who wrote the Constitution never wanted anyone to have it" www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

Rigtig godt splrgsmål!

I sommeren 2024 nedjusterede man forventningen til fremtidens fertilitet fra 1,9 til 1,7 barn per kvinde. Fertiliteten i dag er ca. 1,5, og vores seneste analyse viser, at at fertiliteten nok snarere går længere ned, end op. Betydningen deraf er ret omfattende, jf. den her artikel. #dkøko #dkpol

It’s the stupid, economy.

This is the literal destruction of knowledge. Mississippi libraries are being ordered to remove academic research on race and gender from library databases. mississippitoday.org/2025/04/08/m...

On a positive note, at least Russia is in the passenger seat of the car that Trump decided to drive off a cliff. Oil prices are now over 30% below what was needed for their 2025 budget and they blew through all their financial loopholes in 2024.

Du har sikkert læse om faldende i aktier. Men det er næsten endnu vildere, at det amerikanske statsobligationsmarked er ved at falde lidt fra hinanden. Normalt vil investorerne gerne have amerikanske stater i krise tiden. Ikke denne gang. Det minder lidt om Truss

Trump has done the same damage to our health, environment and security as to our markets, it's just that there isn't a stock ticker that measures the impact so clearly

I think this the first time Brexit has appeared as an attack line in a major English speaking political campaign.

Others have tried to capture the economic effects of the tariff bomb. Here’s another: Trump has destroyed US diplomacy. Forget the liberal international order. US diplomacy as we knew it is over. Thread: 1/

Adam Tooze: Last week, Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick quietly disbanded the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee, a sounding board for the Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and Bureau of Economic Analysis, which produce official statistics. So Trump can doctor US statistics

Many concessions have been made to Putin. Yet he still won't agree to a ceasefire. Read @mcfaulmike.bsky.social

My @opinion.bloomberg.com piece today is on the disbanding of the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee. Yes, it’s wonky and yes, it matters! In uncertain times, we need high quality data more than ever. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

It's hard to overstate the importance of reliable, high-quality data for economists like me. But fudging the numbers won't change the facts. As I told @bencasselman.bsky.social & @colbylsmith.bsky.social, "You can do what you want to the data, you’re not going to change people’s lived experience."