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Trump has an opportunity to cement his place in history and preserve the gains of the post–World War II era, writes Frederick Kempe in #InflectionPoints. But any perceived or actual sellout to Putin would leave an indelible stain US global leadership.

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For @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social I examine how Georgian Dream’s new legislation aimed to stifle - & eventually shutter - media, civil society, & the opposition in 🇬🇪 takes a page out of the Kremlin’s violent autocratic playbook & deepens ties with Moscow. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...

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“Patience is the missing ingredient, the real disruptive trend, in the systems problem for AI,” writes Trey Herr. “Policy requires sustained attention for effective outcomes and mitigation of risk.”

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“Security, politics, and deradicalization can be addressed with creativity, a willingness to try new approaches, and an understanding that there is no simple US real-estate solution in Gaza,” writes Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib.

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"The idea that European troops should be on the ground in Ukraine without US backup would create a dangerous split within NATO and go against the spirit of the Alliance." #FastThinking from #MSC2025 for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social #Ukraine www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-seri...

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Drawing inspiration from an approach that worked in 1982, US President Donald Trump should put forward a landmark plan to rid Gaza of Hamas, writes Daniel B. Shapiro. “Trump has a unique moment to use his persuasive power with Middle Eastern leaders.”

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Colleagues at the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social’s Scowcroft Center released a study among 350 experts in their field. The basic view among many of them is that there will be a global conflict in the next decade.

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My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social. "To secure Taiwan, the US must first secure Ukraine." These two objectives cannot be separated or treated as mutually exclusive - they are strategically intertwined. #WriteFightWin www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...

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Some say the world will end in fire, some say in ice. Pleased and honored to join my @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social colleagues in crafting these 2035 scenarios, especially "Climate of Fear." Choose your own adventure, as they say.

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What will the world look like in the next decade? 🌍 The reluctant international order 🇨🇳 China ascendant ️🌦️ Climate of fear The Atlantic Council’s Peter Engelke, Greg Lindsay, and Paul Saffo examine three different scenarios for the future:

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For our #DigitalSherlocks, a little OSINT-themed fun for #ValentinesDay 🕵️‍♂️ 🌹 Repost to share the love for all the analysts, researchers, and digital detectives working to make sense of the online world

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On February 12, the Trump administration started to roll out its strategy for ending Russia’s war in Ukraine. While the rollout had its failings, it is not as bad as some fear, writes @ambdanfried.bsky.social.

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🔴 Another devastating world war? 🔴 The use of nuclear weapons? 🔴 A democratic depression? We asked more than 350 global strategists and foresight experts what the world might look like in 2035. Explore their findings:

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If Europeans want to shape Trump’s approach to the war in Ukraine, a centerpiece of their strategy must be a European offer to deploy troops in Ukraine, write Léonie Allard and Ian Brzezinski. “The time is now for Europe to act and to act decisively.”

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How can Trump unlock new strategic economic opportunities in Central Asia? Repealing the Cold War–era Jackson-Vanik Amendment is perhaps the best first step, write Andrew D’Anieri and Katherine Spencer:

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As the Trump administration gets settled in the White House, the direction of US-Egypt relations will be determined by how US policymakers address the aftermath of the Israel-Hamas war and how Sisi responds to Trump’s idea to “take over” Gaza, writes Shahira Amin.

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“Trump is serious about shaking up the Middle East, even if his Gaza plan isn’t”…. My latest on how to think about the plan President Trump launched for Gaza last night. www.atlanticcouncil.org?p=823728&pre... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

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During a press conference on Tuesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, US President Donald Trump proposed that the US take control of Gaza and rebuild it. Atlantic Council experts share their insights on how to decode Trump’s comments and how the remarks are impacting the region:

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“A clash with Denmark over Greenland leads to no good outcome,” writes @ambdanfried.bsky.social. “But there are ways out of this self-inflicted mess that would advance US interests,” he explains.

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With US President Donald Trump set to meet with Israel’s prime minister on Tuesday, “the world will be watching to see whether he offers Netanyahu a deal that he can’t refuse,” writes @shalomlipner.bsky.social.

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With US President Donald Trump and Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu set to meet this week, Daniel B. Shapiro outlines how the two leaders can make progress on an Israeli-Saudi normalization deal.

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“The Trump administration’s foreign assistance freeze has the potential to jeopardize Syria’s fragile recovery,” writes Diana Rayes. “It is imperative that US aid to Syria continue.”

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Reports of an AI breakthrough by Chinese company DeepSeek should be a wake-up call for the US, writes Frederick Kempe in #InflectionPoints. Read his analysis on why Deepseek poses a Manhattan Project–sized challenge for Donald Trump:

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What happens in Ukraine will not stay in Ukraine. Discover the ripple effects of Putin’s aggression on Ukraine and the stakes for the US in new documentary from @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social . Watch the full video here: bit.ly/42o8HuH

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It is in the interest of Europe and the US to have 🇺🇦Ukraine in #NATO. Ukraine is an asset to Europe for many reasons. #Ukraine belongs to Europe and should be part of our security structures, that is, the #EU and NATO, asap! #föpol #säkpol @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

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Our latest now live at the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social! "Energy trade flows and the role of the NATO alliance in preserving security and democracy in Europe" www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/energy...

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#UkraineAlert – “Increasing Ukrainian drone and missile strikes are sparking public alarm in Russia and directly undermining the Kremlin’s painstaking efforts to shield ordinary Russians from the consequences of the invasion,” writes @kirichenko.bsky.social.

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As 2025 begins, the United States and Europe are prioritizing different pathways toward digital finance. Hung Tran and Barbara C. Matthews explore potential tensions and opportunities for policy alignment:

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The US and the UK are significant trading partners, with goods and services trade totaling $295.6 billion in 2022. As President Donald Trump begins his second term, the UK is the right partner for the US, and now is the right time for a deal, writes L. Daniel Mullaney.

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This week, Chinese AI startup DeepSeek’s R1 rattled the US after it was found to match OpenAI’s o1 model across a number of core tasks. DFRLab’s @kentonthibaut.bsky.social examines what DeepSeek’s breakthrough says and doesn’t say about the ‘AI race’ with China:

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What’s going on with US President Donald Trump and the Panama Canal? Atlantic Council experts explain how the canal came about, why it matters today, and what to expect next:

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“With Trump far more prominent on the global stage than ever before, Davos participants know he must be taken more seriously than ever before, and perhaps even more literally, as both a symptom and an architect of our changing times,” writes Frederick Kempe in #InflectionPoints.

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In his first days in office, Trump has made it clear that immigration is at the top of his agenda. “African leaders shouldn’t be surprised if relations with the United States are guided by immigration issues rather than trade and investment in the immediate months to come,” writes Alexander Tripp.

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At the World Economic Forum this year, business and government leaders signaled that they want to work with the US and its new president. Atlantic Council GeoEconomics Center experts Josh Lipsky and Ananya Kumar explain why the divide is shrinking between Davos and DC: “There is no alternative.”

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Looking forward to contribute to screening of the film "Intercepted" which contrasts images of the damage caused by the Russian military in Ukraine with intercepted phone calls between Russian soldiers & their families. Hosted by @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social. www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/screen...

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It's not just the shadow fleet and suspicious cable cuts: the global maritime order is under assault in myriad ways. @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social's new report about it is now out atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res... (written by yours truly).

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Sunday’s “sham” election in #Belarus will be a reminder of Lukashenka’s repressive authoritarianism, targeting of basic freedoms, & complicity in 🇷🇺’s war in 🇺🇦. I examine the consequences of 5 more years of dictatorship for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social: www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...

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Good set of definitions of key economic statecraft tools, authorities and processes. @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social Geoeconomics is doing a good job in making sure we have common language for tracking this toolkit that will only become more important. www.atlanticcouncil.org/programs/geo...

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At an #ACFrontPage event on Tuesday, 🇬🇪 President Salome Zourabichvili called for US President Donald Trump to publicly acknowledge that Georgia’s elections were rigged and that new elections must take place. Read a recap of her conversation with Ia Meurmishvili:

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In the final days of his administration, former President Joe Biden issued an executive order aimed at expanding US data center capacity. Will LaRivee explains why this order should remain under the Trump administration:

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After being sworn in as 47th Commander-in-Chief, President Donald Trump signed an Executive Order designating international drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations. Doug Livermore wrote an article for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social about the risks. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

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#UkraineAlert – Ukraine is poised to purchase a pair of Soviet-era nuclear reactors from Bulgaria in a deal that highlights the country’s struggle for greater energy security amid Russia’s ongoing bombardment of civilian infrastructure, writes Stephen Blank.

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President Donald Trump began his second term with a slew of statements and executive orders affecting US energy policy. Atlantic Council experts answer seven pressing questions about Trump’s energy agenda and what to expect next:

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WHO projects that by the end of this decade, about 1.4 billion people will be aged sixty or older. Vijeth Iyengar and Gunay Kazimzade explain why the omission of aging populations in global tech agreements comes at a cost:

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Over the years, the US Senate confirmation process has gone from working well to badly bent to broken, writes Arnold Punaro. “Today’s global threats render it imperative to reform the process as it applies to national security nominees.”

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On Monday, the US Senate unanimously confirmed Marco Rubio as secretary of state. “Having the secretary’s principled views in the room is promising for a US policy in the Middle East,” writes Joze Pelayo.

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“The partnership between Morocco and Israel is inspired and reinforced by their shared interest in opposing Iran’s expansion and its anti-Western, Neo-Sasanian ideology, which traditionally saw Arabs as vassal kingdoms,” writes Sarah Zaaimi.

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#UkraineAlert – By resolutely backing Ukraine, President Donald Trump can prevent the slide toward World War III and reestablish US leadership in a world threatened by Putin’s Axis of Autocrats, writes former Ukrainian PM Arseniy Yatsenyuk.

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In this week's newsletter, we break down how Meta's fact-checking retreat is fueling authoritarian crackdowns in Georgia and Bulgaria. If you’re not yet a subscriber to our newsletter, you can sign up at the link below in the comments section. @dfrlab.bsky.social @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social

submitted 38 days ago • 1 comment