bfschaffner.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Lucy Belknap ('25) shows that Trump doesn't have any special appeal among working class whites...they were already abandoning the Democratic Party before his emergence tufts-pol.medium.com/who-really-c...

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

my favorite category of compliment to get is about my daughter my second favorite is about my graphs

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

It's a small thing but making figures stand-alone interpretable is critical to good science writing. Always strive to do it like this.

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

i have a new @goodauth.bsky.social piece with Caroline Soler on immigration attitudes. an increasing plurality of Americans support both a path to citizenship and increased border security but this group is also becoming increasingly polarized on party lines goodauthority.org/news/surpris...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

conservatives promote school voucher programs, but those programs are not always so popular among rural Republicans. in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Rolando Ortega explores the urban/rural divide when it comes to attitudes on vouchers tufts-pol.medium.com/partisanship...

submitted 45 days ago • 0 comments

in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog, JoJo Martin explores how Democrats and Republicans see political violence and its causes very differently tufts-pol.medium.com/polarized-pe...

submitted 46 days ago • 0 comments

in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab post, Anna O'Sullivan explores how benevolent sexism undermines women in politics. women are much more likely to be viewed as natural caretakers than as natural leaders tufts-pol.medium.com/break-the-gl...

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

Democrats have become much supportive of the criminal justice system since 2020, and Miles Kendrick (class of '26) explores what might be driving this in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post tufts-pol.medium.com/where-have-a...

submitted 66 days ago • 0 comments

in a new post on the CES blog, a team from the Carl Albert Center show that people would much prefer their own party control the redistricting process rather than an independent commission sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

submitted 66 days ago • 0 comments

in a new @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab post, Noah DeYoung shows that there are very few issue positions a GOP candidate can take that will cause them to lose support among Republican voters tufts-pol.medium.com/the-myth-of-...

submitted 79 days ago • 0 comments

another semester of the Tufts Public Opinion Lab in the books with our traditional end of term lunch!

submitted 86 days ago • 0 comments

Finally got the episode up, thank you @bfschaffner.bsky.social for talking to me about the Cooperative Election Study among many other great topics. You can download/listen to the episode here (or any podcatcher). We’re back on our weekly schedule! Whee! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

submitted 87 days ago • 0 comments

in the latest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Abby Sommers reports on an experiment showing that there was probably little Harris could have said to effectively distance herself from the Biden administration. tufts-pol.medium.com/reckoning-wi...

submitted 87 days ago • 1 comment

we tend to end up with romantic partners who share our political views, but is that because liberals and conservatives look for different things from their partners? Lucy Morisse-Corsetti investigates in the latest Tufts Public Opinion Lab post tufts-pol.medium.com/ideology-in-...

submitted 90 days ago • 1 comment

For @crosstabspodcast.bsky.social listeners: we are a bit behind after the election & Thanksgiving (+ client projects all delivering at once), but will be back next Tues with a conversation w @bfschaffner.bsky.social about the Cooperative Election Study (and reflections on studying misinfo, too!)

submitted 93 days ago • 0 comments

This data is fun for a lot of reasons, but it's also a treasure-trove of story and character prompts for writers and writing teachers everywhere. Seriously.

submitted 95 days ago • 0 comments

This is beyond amazing. I love open-ended survey responses, and these are great. The most common responses are not surprising (deaths, births, health, moves, family), but I was not prepared for how many people say "nothing". So many nothings!

submitted 95 days ago • 2 comments

This is my absolute favorite kind of polling data -- a way of looking at individual people's lives and beliefs within a societywide framework.

submitted 95 days ago • 3 comments

in 2022 we asked CES respondents a simple question: "What is the most important thing that happened in your life during the past year?" You can scroll through their verbatim responses here. It's a nice way to see the humanity in our data. tinyurl.com/lifeces

submitted 95 days ago • 3 comments

the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post has Seona Maskara discussing how Democratic efforts to dissuade third party voting in 2024 seemed to work, but considers how that wouldn't be so necessary under ranked choice voting tufts-pol.medium.com/to-shame-or-...

submitted 97 days ago • 0 comments

in a week, we'll be sitting down to thanksgiving dinner, & perhaps some uncomfortable conversations. Rachel Kuhn ('26) explores how Republicans & Democrats approach conversations with opposite party family members in very different ways. tufts-pol.medium.com/carving-the-...

submitted 108 days ago • 2 comments

Really interesting work. The urban/rural/suburban divide hasn't been common in poll weights in the past, but is definitely something to look in to. I had been planning to incorporate regional weights into our NJ polls going forward, but maybe suburban/rural weights will work better.

submitted 102 days ago • 2 comments

polls missed big in 2016, but pollsters spent the past 8 years adapting to those misses and these adjustments worked pretty well in 2024. my new @goodauth.bsky.social piece with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/pollste...

submitted 103 days ago • 2 comments

Today's my favorite post-election tradition! The Election Research Center at the UW is hosting our Election Symposium! We have an all-star panel of: @pollsandvotes.bsky.social, Lynn Vavreck, @bfschaffner.bsky.social, @francoordonez.bsky.social, and Bernard Fraga! elections.wisc.edu/2024symposium/

submitted 107 days ago • 1 comment

in a week, we'll be sitting down to thanksgiving dinner, & perhaps some uncomfortable conversations. Rachel Kuhn ('26) explores how Republicans & Democrats approach conversations with opposite party family members in very different ways. tufts-pol.medium.com/carving-the-...

submitted 108 days ago • 2 comments

we have lots of great new Tufts Public Opinion Lab content coming your way in the coming weeks! first up, JoJo Martin ('25) explores how the candidates used music during the 2024 campaign and whether any of it mattered tufts-pol.medium.com/ballots-and-...

submitted 108 days ago • 0 comments

on the dog that didn't bark in this election...new @goodauth.bsky.social piece with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/democra...

submitted 115 days ago • 0 comments

Polls missed the 2016 election outcome and did even worse in 2020 on the margin, underestimating Donald Trump again. Should we believe the polls this time? NEW Science of Politics ep w/ @mattgrossmann.bsky.social‬, @bfschaffner.bsky.social & Michael Bailey.

submitted 129 days ago • 0 comments

🤔Are Americans’ attitudes toward local issues structured ideologically? ➡️ @bfschaffner.bsky.social @jesserhodesumass.bsky.social & @raylaraja.bsky.social find that only a smaller subset of attitudes about local issues appears distinctively local www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

submitted 128 days ago • 0 comments

just released: national estimates from CES pre-election interviews with over 70k american adults National LVs (Oct. 1 - 25): Harris: 51% Trump: 47% Dynamic crosstabs: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/prez2024pre/ Release: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

submitted 132 days ago • 6 comments

here are the poll results you were really anticipating today (though, to be fair, they look pretty similar to what that new york newspaper put out) Tufts Public Opinion Lab poll National likely voters (10/21-10/23): Harris 49% Trump 48% tufts-pol.medium.com/tufts-public...

submitted 135 days ago • 0 comments

i guess i'm in the "promote fringe ideas" stage of my career now wapo.st/4fgJRAf (with @raylaraja.bsky.social )

submitted 136 days ago • 0 comments

most people who are still undecided won’t vote and those who do will mostly just support the same party they have in the past. but in an election this close, undecided voters could still make the difference. my new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/undecid...

submitted 143 days ago • 0 comments

just a reminder that the CES website has a host of shiny app tools for quickly analyzing data on various topics tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-fac...

submitted 144 days ago • 0 comments

This barrage of emotionally manipulative emails (not to mention the creepy-stalker texts, and the desperate social media) is doing active damage to our democracy. It’s making self-governance feel like a marketing scam. leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-presid...

submitted 152 days ago • 1 comment

ICYMI, read @bfschaffner.bsky.social's latest post w/Caroline Soler on the recent changes in poll weighting and why it matters:

submitted 157 days ago • 0 comments

my newest @goodauth.bsky.social piece with Caroline Soler documents how pollsters are weighting polls differently now compared to 2016 and what that means for numbers they are putting out there goodauthority.org/news/pollste...

submitted 158 days ago • 2 comments

my newest @goodauth.bsky.social piece with Caroline Soler documents how pollsters are weighting polls differently now compared to 2016 and what that means for numbers they are putting out there goodauthority.org/news/pollste...

submitted 158 days ago • 2 comments

Don’t sleep on this bit from @bfschaffner.bsky.social. I’ve seen the same even among people who reported that they had already voted early

submitted 167 days ago • 4 comments

My first post on BlueSky. Hi! My book, HOW POLITICIANS POLARIZE, officially has a cover and I wanted to share. Coming soon in 2025 with University of Chicago Press --> press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

submitted 171 days ago • 1 comment

when he first ran in 2016, voters weren't too sure how to place Trump on the ideological scale, but his presidency offered a great deal of clarity. new @goodauth.bsky.social piece by me and Caroline Soler. goodauthority.org/news/trump-c...

submitted 177 days ago • 0 comments

new publication from the Tufts Public Opinion Lab by Thomas Hershewe and Asher Smith just dropped in American Politics Research. really interesting and important work on partisan priming and rural identity! #soproud #tpol4eva journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

submitted 178 days ago • 0 comments

the past is prologue so use the CES quick tools to track how various demographic groups have voted over the past couple of decades tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-fac...

submitted 183 days ago • 0 comments