Profile avatar
billperryuk.bsky.social
100 posts 96 followers 240 following
Prolific Poster
Conversation Starter

Two weeks from now the crew of a nuclear submarine are going to see this email and the subsequent one firing them all.

I think as Arsenal fans we maybe need to wake up to the fact that you simply cannot compete at this level when you have the amount of injuries we do. The manager might find solutions, but those solutions being successful would be a *top 4* finish. Not a title.

100% this

Totally agree on this, but can also see Musk spinning sanctions as "authoritarian western states forcing us to support wars". What this will amount to is the challenging of the authority of the state. It's at the very heart of the concept of nation states.

Err defacto President of the US is agreeing with the views of Alexander Dugin... This really is a very very bad sign. Amongst other disgusting views, Dugin supports genocide in Ukraine.

Remember in 2016 when everyone was like "you might not like Trump, but got to give it to the guy he's good at politics"? The fact his 2nd term is pouring cold water on populist parties in Canada, Germany and the UK hopefully puts to bed once and for all that no, he is in fact not good at politics.

I'm more and more convinced that left and right wing no longer exists. Today the big divides are establishment and anti-establishment. The actual policy positions of what people belive seems to be very fluid. The thing that's consistent is their views on the establishment.

Donald Trump is about to learn the hard way that when you raise the price of a thing, for instance with historically high tariffs, people usually buy less of said thing, which in turn leads to less tax revenue It's Econ 101, but for dummies, and real people will get hurt in the process

48% of Brits believe it is more important for the UK government to support Ukraine than to maintain good relations with the US

This is a welcome intervention from @torstenbell.bsky.social Spending on the NHS and other services should be recognised as an investment and foundational for our prosperity It is no coincidence that the years of austerity came alongside years of stagnation www.theguardian.com/business/202...

It irritates me no end that it’s always liberals who are dismissed as being “out of touch” with “real people”. Liberals are much more in touch with the public mood than the reactionary right, whether it’s on race, same-sex relationships, or abortion rights. We should start saying so more boldly.

And this isn’t even the number! At best they’ve “saved” only a fraction, in part because they confused $8 million for $8 billion in one case.

Putin says Trump must go further before he’ll even agree to meet. Putin is entirely in the driving seat. The US has alienated its own allies, given Russia nearly all of what it wanted, bought Putin’s warped view of reality, and can’t even guarantee a meeting. The art of the deal, indeed.

White House posted this dictatorial statement minutes ago at the Nazi site:

Good job there weren’t any signs for, say, the past eight years that American hegemony was over, otherwise we’d feel pretty foolish about doing nothing.

Another similarity between Badenoch & Corbyn is tendency to dismiss opponents rather than take them seriously as people who hold different views for good reasons. Corbyn saw opponents as less morally virtuous. Badenoch sees them as stupid. In both cases, they have a fig leaf for their own laziness

Donald Trump is alienating Ukrainians fast Which means that Europe will probably soon have to step up and match as much as much possible US weapon shipments to Ukraine It’s going to be tough, but it’s critical that we succeed at supporting Ukraine

if I were Europe I'd be doing a crash university buildout right now. a whole bunch of top US academics can be had at pennies on the dollar www.thebulwark.com/p/the-doge-b...

I hope leftists look at Trump's foreign policy so far and then fully internalise the logic of the "lesser of two evils" before reflecting on how they treated the US election.

🇩🇰 Denmark today increases the defence budget with 50bn DKK (6.7bn EUR) plus 10bn DKK (1.3bn EUR) extra per year until 2033 going 2.4% of GDP in 2024 to 3.2% in 2025. As discussed probably 50bn more is needed for acquisition.

"The return of the assumption that big powers can simply carve bits off smaller ones is a deeply unsettling development. We may come to see the “post-war era” as a golden period which has now reached its end."

This is a chart of US exports to Russia by year, which peaked at just above $10 billion in the period 2012-2014, or 0.4% of total US exports at the time, and were at $6.3 billion in 2021, or 0.2% of total US exports at the time. They are getting rolled.

A number of prominent UK Conservatives' statements about Donald Trump resemble one of those news stories that begins with a magazine feature about a new age mystic who believes he can talk to bears and ends with a newspaper article about a new age mystic being mauled to death by bears.

My thoughts on the Russian-American talks on Ukraine, without Ukraine. The simplest interpretation of the available facts is that the Americans are using Russian violence to try to exploit Ukraine. snyder.substack.com/p/peace-or-p...

Or, bear with me here, a reason to increase defence spending *could be* that Russia has sought to remake the borders of Europe by force.

“We're now at the stage where America's main incentive in preventing Russia from gobbling up more of Ukraine is that it would jeopardize America's theft of Ukraine's natural resources.” @michaeldweiss.bsky.social www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...

This this very much this. Also an apparently worsening problem is that it's actually hard to follow the talking points on political talk shows these days unless you've spent the day on twitter. Media editors are increasingly in the "very online" group and that's an issue.

Zelensky on Meet the Press: “We believe that Putin will wage war against NATO. What is he waiting for? Any weakening of NATO by for instance, a policy of the United States.”

This is a fascinating @ecfr.eu study of global opinion towards Trump's election: India is the most pro-Trump country and Britain a strong contender for most anti-Trump country. This was post-election, pre-inauguration polling ecfr.eu/publication/...

There’s been lots of commentary about backlash against social progressive policy of the last decade (‘DEI’, etc) but social values are the dimension of public opinion that tend *not* to exhibit thermostatic dynamics. This is largely about elite signals to partisans. www.cambridge.org/core/element...

It's official: the European emergency summit at head of state & government will be held in Paris Monday PM with the main EU members and the UK. As yet unclear whether NATO SecGen and Zelensky will join.

I’m having great difficulty right now seeing how our political system doesn’t devolve into violence.

If you wargame a scenario where Trump cuts EU out of Ukraine/Russia peace talks (already has), you can easily envision Ukraine and EU collectively disregarding the "deal" Trump and Putin come up with, leading to an international crisis of unimaginable proportions. It's likely Macron sees this.

The peace dividend is over. Europe needs a rapid rise in defence spending. That's a tragedy. Money spent on instruments of death cannot be spent on the means of life: art, schools, childcare, housing. It will change radically what progressive govts can do. But without it,everything else is at risk

Have written about JD Vance’s Munich speech. In what may prove to be the biggest week for European security since 1991, it’s time Europe listened to what Trump and his Vice President are telling us. open.substack.com/pub/goodalla...