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bogatyrev.bsky.social
PhD researcher in politics at Bocconi University - working on political behavior and accountability for illiberals & authoritarians + quantitative methods - 🏳️‍🌈 he/they https://sites.google.com/view/konstantin-bogatyrev/
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Unsettling how much the BSW map looks like the old Die Linke map — and the Linke map... just doesn't. The Linke map is vastly less Eastern than eight (or even four) years ago, and more urban than ever.

Maybe we should stop calling it a grand coalition if it just barely has a majority…

This is going to go on at many universities - the uncertainty will lead to fewer graduate programs. It will hobble scientific research which appears to be the goal.

Yiqing Xu is finally on BlueSky! I'm a big fan of Yiqing's work in causal inference methodology as well as the clear guidelines and recommendations he provides for using methods and software. A fresh example is here:

Short note on provision of "raw" data in replication packages. "Raw" are data files exactly as downloaded from original source. Not renamed, not converted, not made prettier. All that is important, and is the next step, for which you provide code (or instructions). But "raw" is as "raw as it gets".

Got my first one today too 👇👇

The @apsrjournal.bsky.social is now implementing review transfers! See the Notes from the Editors in the latest issue for more information.

🚨New paper forthcoming @apsrjournal.bsky.social!🚨 How do economic shocks shape politics? We study a plant disease epidemic in Italy🌱—finding it fueled far-right support It’s not just economic loss but how shocks uproot communities and interact with perceptions of state neglect shorturl.at/ntKyt

How do autocrats stay in power? Our new research dives into the strategies of political control—repression, co-optation, and indoctrination—used across 229 autocracies from 1946 to 2010. What we found will change the way you think about authoritarian resilience. 🧵👇

Since I have made this post I have gathered a bunch of observational studies with null results since then. Here is a quick thread:

Yet every year at EPSA one senior faculty asks me something like “why do you still need an LGBTQ group?” This kind of marginalization reproduces itself. With less visibility and prestige, new PhDs won‘t focus on these issues, faculty positons won‘t include this profile, teaching will ignore it.

Are you a grad student interested in survey research in East Central Europe but need funding? 🌟🌟 EEPG is excited to announce a time sharing survey & APSA 2025 Pre-Conference for grad students🌟🌟 CFP + FAQs + Application link: drive.google.com/file/d/1JwW8... DEADLINE: Feb 7 2025 @ Midnight PST

In economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus. As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees. 1/

In the most recent year, about 1/5 articles in AJPS and JOP had a survey experiment. (preliminary result from work in progress with @vincentab.bsky.social and @jonmellon.bsky.social, come see more at SPSA)

The informal knowledge gap around journals' turnaround times systematically penalizes disadvantaged and early-career scholars. I highly recommend using and promoting this tool to help close that gap. 👇

Pleased to share the latest version of my paper with Arthur Spirling and @lexipalmer.bsky.social on replication using LMs We show: 1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...

"Which journals have a fast turnaround time?" is a frequent question in academia. Most of the time, people answer based on anecdotes (or grudges). My lab at Cornell decided to build a Chrome plugin, what we are calling Coauthor, to crowdsource an answer: coauthor.fly.dev #AcademicSky

A few papers I think worth reading. Mostly open access. Causal inference is hard: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

New Gender Update out in @ejpgjournal.bsky.social. With data from the new wave of the EES, I show a strong increase in support for the far right among young voters. Especially the share of young men who consider voting for the far right has exploded. bristoluniversitypressdigital.com/view/journal...