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catinsight.bsky.social
Researching catastrophe / climate risk at OAK Re Visiting Research Fellow & PhD @ University of Reading Assoc Editor RMetS Weather & FRMetS Director @ CatInsight Eating noodle soup or watching cricket otherwise.
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Going to be fun stacking up the AI forecast plumes alongside the "standard" operational model plumes now the ECMWF AIFS is operational...

I wonder just how much social media "misinformation" is feeding this rather chastening rise...

With Trump back in and the far right making gains in Germany, let's hope there's not election any time soon in the UK based on the current projection...

A thought for everyone: for next year's hurricane season forecasts, who would be the best arbiter of making all hurricane forecasting entities issue forecasts at exactly the same date and time so no-one can side-eye anyone else's forecast before releasing theirs?

As much as I would rather not post from the self-aggrandisement hole that is LinkedIn, this has attracted a lot of interest, and quite rightly:

Join Newcastle University's Climate Change Vulnerability Risk and Adaptation course and gain the expertise to understand, evaluate, and respond to climate-related hazards. Sign up here: lnkd.in/eB8rBGxk

The lightest of snow falling in Deal, Kent. #uksnow 1/10 CT14

🧪⚒️ The seismic swarm in Greece continues - and GPS stations on Santorini show that the island itself is deforming, signaling likely movement of magma deep in the crust. In our latest post, we explore a new detailed seismic catalog and come up with a possible interpretation. Read more:

Word of the Day is ‘quockerwodger’ (19th century): a puppet individual whose strings are pulled entirely by someone else.

Chuck Doswell obituary from @eloquentscience.com and Harold Brooks: rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....

Behold! A conference whose second day starts at 0945 rather than 0830 or some ridiculous hour designed for Morning People Only. I finally feel seen.

Anybody else thoroughly enjoy working on a train? It's the closest I'll ever get to multitasking.

Does your conference get questions from the audience by throwing the microphone at the questioner? If not, you're at the wrong conference. Terrific 2.5 days chewing the fat at the 10th Windstorm Conference in Bern. Really lively, engaging time.

For interest - Mark Dixon from CoreLogic, David Smart from UCL and I put our heads together on a worked example of counterfactual analysis for Windstorm Ciaran and how different the losses could have been... rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....

I'm in Bern for the 10th Windstorm Conference where Academia and Industry get together and discuss ongoing research and mutual needs. It says a lot that it's got to its 10th birthday. And this year we're celebrating by having conference with a heck of a view.

This is ALL @simonleewx.com's fault...

Am I on some sort follow list for anti-Republican meme generators? Thoroughly putting me off this place. 100% understand the plight of America at the moment but if I'm honest I'm here to talk about shifting catastrophe risk and weather, not politics. I must have about 100 "genuine" followers.

With models flip-flopping from run to run it's never been a better time to be a "New model shows exact time England gets hit by 126-hour 5.4cm snow wall in new Beastfromtheeastageddon" Daily Express headline writer.

You can't beat an end-of-run carrot-dangle. Although as Mika points out, it's part of an ensemble signal...

I turned 50 last week and received probably the best present ever, this LED display of the latest weather radar frames from Traintrackr.

In today's model solutions, the ACCESS-G model from the BoM in Australia offered up the Great October Storm of 1987, seemingly, completely with peak gusts (not shown) just shy of Shoreham's 120 mph from 1987 and a track and time of night eerily close to that event...!

For the fellow winter strugglers looking for some cheer: in London at least we've now got a full hour (1h 3m) longer daylight than the shortest day today. Keep on keeping on...