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The outlook for US-Turkish relations is grim. Progressive policymakers can still salvage incremental wins, like securing the best possible settlement for the SDF in Syria. New commentary by @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

As Trump embarks on another four years of foreign policy transactionalism, it’s hard to know what U.S.–Turkey trend will win out: a deepening authoritarian embrace with Erdogan, or more enmity grounded in opposing regional goals and cultural prejudice. New commentary by @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

Whether Trump and Erdogan find antidemocratic common ground or devolve into confrontation, there’s little to look forward to for U.S.–Turkish relations, writes @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social in a new commentary.

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Missed this morning's event on the future of Gaza? Catch the recording of @dahliasc.bsky.social and @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org‬ in conversation with Century International director @tcambanis.bsky.social

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

Bombed-out towns, forced SDF conscription, economic crisis: just a few of the reasons Syrian refugees in Lebanon give when explaining why they are staying put, for now. New commentary by @abujamajem.com on what’s needed to support refugees’ return.

submitted 24 days ago • 0 comments

Syria is still too unstable and economically depressed for many of the 6.2 million Syrian refugees to return—much as many would like to. The int’l community needs to invest in Syria’s peace so that its people can come home— @abujamajem.com in a new commentary.

submitted 25 days ago • 0 comments

With Assad gone, Lebanon and other countries hosting large numbers of Syrian refugees want them to go home asap. Not so fast, writes @abujamajem.com in a new commentary. Syria still needs a lot of help to be ready for a mass homecoming.

submitted 25 days ago • 0 comments

The Oslo two-state solution has failed. The one-state reality of Israeli citizens and oppressed Palestinian subjects is a travesty. Palestinians & Israelis should instead seek a confederation of two equal states with freedom and rights for all—@dahliasc.bsky.social in a new report.

submitted 31 days ago • 0 comments

Palestinians and Israelis deserve freedom of movement, work, and residency. In a new report, @dahliasc.bsky.social writes that there’s only one realistic way to a just peace: a confederation of two sovereign nations living peacefully in partnership on the same land. https://tcf.org/content/report/t…

submitted 32 days ago • 0 comments

Israel’s total segregation and oppression of Palestinians in Gaza only empowered Hamas, writes @dahliasc.bsky.social in a new report. A just peace requires a new model: two states in confederation with equal rights and freedoms for all.

submitted 32 days ago • 0 comments

The Israel-Palestine conflict needs fresh ideas that: Extend equal rights Cut through the fears and resentments on both sides Honor ancestral connections to the land Prioritize mutual needs. New report by @dahliasc.bsky.social on the confederated two-state solution.

submitted 32 days ago • 1 comment

Progressives should take no comfort in Trump's isolationism: America's public is against overseas military interventions until it isn’t, writes @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social. A new vision for progressive foreign policy is needed.

submitted 45 days ago • 0 comments

Trump’s victory has no silver lining for progressive foreign policy, writes CI fellow @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social. Progressives must get to work on a new vision.

submitted 46 days ago • 0 comments

As Trump takes office, the progressive foreign policy agenda is all but dead. A new vision is needed: active but non-militaristic, writes @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social

submitted 46 days ago • 2 comments

Syria sanctions could torpedo a historic moment, writes CI director @tcambanis.bsky.social. The Biden admin can, in its final days, lift the U.S. designation of HTS & issue licenses or waivers to aid reconstruction.

submitted 70 days ago • 0 comments

Welcome Century International @zfshuker.bsky.social to Bluesky! Follow Zeinab and all our fellows on Bluesky here: go.bsky.app/L4xSLft

submitted 70 days ago • 0 comments

It will clearly be a travesty if sanctions intended to punish Assad are imposed on the rebels who finally overthrew him, writes CI director @tcambanis.bsky.social in a new commentary. Syrians deserve a chance. tcf.org/content/comm...

submitted 70 days ago • 1 comment

@centuryintl.bsky.social colleague @tcambanis.bsky.social argues the U.S. should seize this moment and provide sanctions relief to Syria to create conditions for reconstruction and recovery – particularly given the role of U.S. and other outsiders in destroying the country: tcf.org/content/comm...

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Great primer on the situation in Syria from Century International fellow Aron Lund

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As Syrian rebels close in on Homs, the opposition has much to celebrate. But there are harrowing risks ahead as Assad grows more desperate. @aronlund.bsky.social & @abujamajem.com in a new roundtable:

submitted 84 days ago • 1 comment

Seemingly out of the blue, Syrian rebels are barreling across the country, capturing huge swaths of territory. In a new Century roundtable, our resident Syria analysts @aronlund.bsky.social & @abujamajem.com discuss the armed opposition group leading the assault. Read: tcf.org/content/comm...

submitted 84 days ago • 0 comments

ICYMI: Century International fellow @aronlund.bsky.social 's commentary analyzing the labyrinthine political journey of Massad Boulos, who is now Trump's appointee as senior advisor on Arab and Middle Eastern Affairs.

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@centuryintl.bsky.social colleague @aronlund.bsky.social on the color-changing Lebanese political affiliations of Trump in-law Massad Boulos: tcf.org/content/comm...

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With Donald Trump on his way back to the White House, Arab media has zoomed in on Massad Boulos, a Lebanese-American businessman with family links to the president-elect and a little-known political past in Lebanon. @aronlund.bsky.social reports for Century International 1/6

submitted 100 days ago • 1 comment

Trump II will enable more destructive experiments in fashioning “a new Middle East.” US policy could push region to new bottoms but won’t create anything good. @tcambanis.bsky.social in this week's roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

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Trump II means more Israeli expropriation of Palestinian land. The man who gave Jerusalem and the Golan to Israel could sign off on recolonization of Gaza and annexation of the West Bank. Zack Cuyler in our roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

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Trump officials see Yemen as a low-cost opportunity to build pressure on Iran. The result will be more misery and bloodshed for Yemen—and probably more US involvement. @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social in our roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

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Gulf monarchs were quick to congratulate Trump on his victory, and many are emboldened. But Trump II holds serious risks for Gulf stability, including Saudi favoritism. Veena Ali-Khan in this week's roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

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MAGA boosters will try to credit Trump with opening up new economic opportunities in the Gulf. The truth is that those economies were already on the rise. @rohanadvani.bsky.social in this week's roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

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Will Trump’s disdain for foreign aid extend to the Lebanese army? If so, it will further undermine the supposed U.S. objectives of strengthening the Lebanese government. @abujamajem.com in a new CenturyIntl roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 100 days ago • 1 comment

Just added esteemed Century International fellows @3yyash.bsky.social and @dahliasc.bsky.social to our CI fellows starter pack. Welcome to Bluesky! go.bsky.app/L4xSLft

submitted 100 days ago • 1 comment

As Trump’s foreign policy team fills up with China hawks and pro-Israel fanatics, Trump is proving that he’s definitely not the “isolationist” he’s purported to be. @3yyash.bsky.social in a new Century roundtable

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Slashing foreign aid is one of Trump’s few unchanging opinions. In Syria, that could mean the beginning of a profoundly destabilizing humanitarian crisis. @aronlund.bsky.social in a new @CenturyIntl roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Trump’s approach to Syria exemplifies the chaotic incoherence of his Middle East policy. @abujamajem.com in a new @CenturyIntl roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

To get elected, Trump made impossible promises to adversaries in the Middle East. His actual policy will likely be decided by the hawks he appoints. Assume the worst. @eamonka.bsky.social in a new Century roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Trump will likely tighten severe sanctions on Iran—pushing Tehran into the China-led, BRICS-aligned economic sphere. Veena Ali-Khan in a new Century roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Many Iraqis believe Trump’s administration cannot be worse than Biden’s. War with Iran could test that assumption. @sajadjiyad.bsky.social in a new @Century roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Trump’s policies toward Islamic movements and the Israeli war on Palestine could lead those who voted for him in states like Michigan to change their minds. @3yyash.bsky.social in a new Century roundtable: https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

Under the Trump administration, the best case scenario for US–Turkey relations is corruption and authoritarian solidarity instead of a clash of civilizations. https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social in a new Century roundtable

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

There are many unknowns about the second Trump administration, but climate policy is not one of them, writes Zeinab Shuker in a new roundtable. The next Trump presidency will be disastrous for climate.

submitted 101 days ago • 1 comment

Trump has promised peace for Lebanon, but his badly designed negotiations might just eat away even more at Lebanon’s sovereignty. @simagh.bsky.social in a @CenturyIntl roundtable on the dangers of Trump II for Lebanon https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

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Trump might entice Israel to wind down its war—but the price will be a promise that Palestine is never actually free. Dahlia Scheindlin on Trump’s new, bigger blank check for Israel in a new @CenturyIntl roundtable https://tcf.org/content/report/how-trump-can-make-things-worse-in-the-middle-east

submitted 101 days ago • 0 comments

My take on the future of US-Turkish ties courtesy of this new Century International round-up: tcf.org/content/comm...

submitted 102 days ago • 1 comment