chrambrosio.bsky.social
Research Associate and Lecturer at Freie Universität Berlin, Economics & Institute for Latin American Studies, Project Leader DEPRISK and DEPCON
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Only that it should be black with a few red spots
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I can hear Willy Brandt crying from his grave
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Das Framing in dem Artikel stellt stark die Frage nach Effizienz in den Vordergrund. Glaube nicht dass es Trump darum, geht sondern schlicht in ihre noch stärkere geopolitische Instrumentalisierung. Dadurch bekommen wir dann leider noch weniger Effizienz, wie wir ja auch dank deiner Forschung wissen
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Es ist aber auch naiv zu glauben dass die multiplen Krisen die wir gerade erleben (vor allem oder überhaupt) mit Aufrüstung zu lösen wären.
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I would first like to hear Bob Dylan’s opinion on that external validity assumption
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Aid, Trade, Migration: All three policy reversals will undermine US soft power and alienate former allies.
Evidence for the “losing hearts and minds” as a result of deportations: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
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Stolz auf die Abschiebung nach Geheimverhandlungen mit der Taliban die wahrscheinlich Millionen oder andere Zugeständnisse dafür gekriegt haben. www.zdf.de/nachrichten/...
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In these times one would really wish for a leader with spine and integrity. What a sad day for our country and worse to come.
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here is a link to the prepublished and ungated version of the paper: tinyurl.com/4r6suyv4
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Petro is the perfect illustration of the geopolitical costs of deportation policies.
Naive to believe that the US is gaining from bullying Latin America into cooperation
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The reception of deportees correlates with a loss of trust in the US.
We see both within country evidence for this for the case study of El Salvador and across country evidence all over Latin America
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That is great and I am curious! But page not found for me?
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This was one of the most interesting and creative papers I heard at #ASSA was definitely worth getting up early!
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There is more literature on negative deportation externalities. While these policies respond to the sentiments of many citizens in destination countries, it is an illusion to believe that deportations “solves” much if anything. Benefits are uncertain and costs are huge.
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With Cova Meseguer, we show that the arrival of deportees fueled Anti-American sentiments in Latin America: dx.doi.org/10.1111/glob.12439. Such feelings can then be capitalized by populist leaders and undermines soft power of destination countries.
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In Mexico, an increase of deportation threats via policies targeted to facilitate deportations are associated with an increase in homicides in Mexico, that could be due both direct and indirect unintended effects (this is an older version, published update coming soon: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...)
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In Central America, the massive deportation of young adults that were socialized into US gang culture as kids led to a massive spread of violent gangs that haunt the region since the 1990s doi.org/10.1016/j.wo.... This violence led to new migration waves.