Profile avatar
conflictdispatch.bsky.social
OSINT △ Geopolitics △ Donate to the Legion of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine below (not affiliated) https://linktr.ee/ConflictDispatch
2,906 posts 1,240 followers 59 following
Prolific Poster

🇮🇱🇾🇪 Yemeni Missile Hits Near Ben Gurion Airport A ballistic missile from Yemen struck near Terminal 3 access road at Israel’s Ben Gurion Airport. Iron Dome failed to intercept it. The IDF confirmed the hit and launched an investigation.

🇮🇳🇵🇰 India Cuts Water Flow to Pakistan After Terror Attack India blocks flow through Baglihar Dam and plans the same for Kishanganga. This follows India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty after Pahalgam attack killed 26.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 First Image of Ukrainian Magura V7 Sea Drone Armed with AIM-9 Sidewinder Missiles Published — Naval News Drones of this type reportedly downed two Russian fighter jets over the Black Sea recently.

🇫🇷🇺🇦 France to Send 1,200 AASM Hammer Bombs to Ukraine in 2025 — Le Parisien Paris will manufacture and deliver all 1,200 precision-guided AASM Hammer bombs produced in 2025 directly to Ukraine.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 A Second Russian Warplane Destroyed in Crimea Within a Day as Part of Successful Operation — Zelensky

🌐🇷🇺 Russia Faces Over 24,000 Sanctions Since 2014 — Castellum The US leads with 7,300+ sanctions, followed by Canada (3,639), Switzerland (3,266), and France (3,266). South Korea (24) and Singapore (5) imposed the fewest.

🇱🇹🇷🇺 Lithuania to Revoke Residence Permits of Russians for Frequent Trips to Russia Russians with Lithuanian residency risk losing it if they visit Russia or Belarus more than once in three months without valid reasons. Exceptions apply for transit and emergencies, per Unian.

🇺🇸 US Successfully Tests Cold-Launch System for Naval Hypersonic Missiles The Pentagon confirmed the first cold-launch test: the missile is ejected from the ship without engine ignition, which activates at a safe distance.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Russian Losses Remain High — 2025 Could Be Its Deadliest Year Yet, Says UK Intel Britain’s MoD estimates Russia has lost ~950,000 troops since the war began, with 160,000 casualties in just the first 4 months of 2025 — without major gains.

🇺🇸🇹🇼🇨🇳 US Can Still Defeat China Over Taiwan, But Edge Is Shrinking – Admiral Paparo The US retains a military edge over China due to submarine, space, and weapons tech, says INDOPACOM chief, but warns Beijing is expanding its military at record speed and rehearsing all types of invasion scenarios.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 Ukraine May Access Full $30B US Aid Package in 2025 President Zelensky aims to receive both the $15B aid package approved for 2025 and advance the 2026 $15B tranche this year through the new Reconstruction Fund — totaling $30B to help purchase weapons.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukrainian Sea Drone Downs Russian Jet Near Novorossiysk A Ukrainian unmanned surface vessel reportedly shot down a Russian Su-30. The crew reportedly survived.

🇬🇧🇺🇦 UK To Transfer All AS-90 Howitzers to Ukraine Britain will hand over its entire fleet of AS-90 self-propelled howitzers — around 70–80 units — to Ukraine, officially retiring them from British Army service, reports Army Technology.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Footage of Explosions After UAVs Were Active near Kerch in Russian-occupied Crimea

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Loud Explosions & Air Defense Reported in Kerch, Crimean Bridge Closed

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Russia Fears Losing Leverage After US-Ukraine Minerals Deal — WP Moscow is worried the new US-Ukraine partnership on natural resources gives Washington stronger ties to Kyiv and undermines Russia’s chances of securing a favorable peace deal.

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 US Prepares New Sanctions on Russia Amid Ukraine Peace Talks — Reuters Washington is readying additional sanctions to increase pressure on Moscow during ongoing negotiations, aiming to gain leverage in talks over ending the war in Ukraine.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 US Approves $310.5M F-16 Support Package for Ukraine The State Department has greenlit the sale of training and equipment for Ukraine’s F-16 fleet, strengthening Kyiv’s air capabilities.

🔹 Rutte to Propose NATO Defense Spending Plan of 5% of GDP to Trump — Reuters At the Hague summit, the Dutch PM will suggest a two-tier model: 3.5% for traditional defense, 1.5% for dual-use infrastructure — boosting NATO while appeasing US demands.

🇺🇸 Trump Plans Record $1 Trillion US Defense Budget in 2026 National security spending to rise 13%, including the “Golden Dome” air defense system, nuclear upgrades & shipbuilding. Civil programs like foreign aid, education, and green energy face 22.6% cuts.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Peace Talks Made Ukraine More Dangerous Since Trump’s outreach to Putin, Russia launched 4,694 missiles and drones in 30 days — twice as many as before. Civilian casualties rose 46% in April; 40,000 fled front-line regions, per the NYT.

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 US Officials Signal Long War Ahead in Ukraine JD Vance warns the war in Ukraine won’t end soon. Secretary of State Rubio added in another interview that neither side can win outright: “Ukraine can’t retake 2014 borders, Russia can’t occupy all of Ukraine.”

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Trump Team Drafts Pressure Tactics to End Russia’s War — Bloomberg Trump’s advisers have developed potential measures to pressure Russia into halting its war against Ukraine, signaling a tougher stance if talks fail.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukrainian Sea Drone Strike Hits Russian Targets in Crimea and Offshore Platforms On the night of May 2, Ukrainian forces carried out a coordinated operation using sea drones—targeting both offshore platforms and coastal positions in occupied Crimea. (1/2)

🇺🇦🇷🇺 At Current Pace, Russia Would Take All of Ukraine by 2256—Losing 101 Million Lives According to Forbes, based on current Russian advance rates and casualty figures, it would take until the year 2256 to occupy all of Ukraine—at the cost of 101 million Russian lives.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 US Sends Retired F-16s from Boneyard to Support Ukrainian Fleet Decommissioned F-16s from Davis-Monthan AFB will be used for spare parts to maintain Ukraine’s jets.

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine Begins Mass Production of Fiber-Optic FPV Drone Reels with 30 km Range All winding and assembly is localized in Ukraine. Unlike unreliable Chinese versions, domestic production ensures high quality and fewer failures on the front lines, per DroneBomber.

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Senator Graham: Devastating Sanctions & 500% Tariffs if Putin Rejects Peace If Putin refuses peace talks, the US will impose crushing sanctions on Russia and 500% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil and gas. The corresponding bill has been approved, but isn’t passed.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 US and Ukraine Sign Minerals Deal According to Bloomberg sources, the US and Ukraine have officially signed a deal on natural resources. (1/3)

🇺🇸🇺🇦 Trump Administration Approves First $50M Arms Export to Ukraine Washington greenlights initial military shipment to Ukraine under Trump, according to the Kyiv Post. Observers hope it’s just the beginning of renewed US support.

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Russia Rejects US Role, Seeks Direct Talks with Ukraine — Peskov Kremlin wants to negotiate peace directly with Ukraine, sidelining the US Likely triggered by Trump envoy Witkoff’s plan, which Moscow found “unacceptable.”

🇺🇦🇷🇺🇰🇵 600 North Korean Soldiers Killed Fighting for Russia in Ukraine – Reuters About 15,000 North Korean troops have reportedly been deployed, with total casualties around 4,700. Both Moscow and Pyongyang have officially confirmed their presence.

🇮🇳🇵🇰 Pakistan Warns of Imminent Indian Military Action Pakistan’s Information Minister says Islamabad has “credible intelligence” that India plans military strikes within the next 24–36 hours.

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 Trump Signals Possible Stronger Support for Ukraine In an interview with The Atlantic, Trump said he may show “more favor toward Ukraine” due to Russia’s actions. (1/2)

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Russia to Step Up Offensive in Ukraine with Warmer Weather Warmer weather and thicker foliage will help Russia hide positions and move heavy equipment. Ukraine’s drone edge may wane, and US artillery stocks are running low, per the WSJ.

🇵🇹🇪🇸 99.95% of Consumers Reconnected in Spain Spain’s Red Eléctrica says nearly all consumers are back online after the outage. In Portugal, 85 of 89 substations are operational again, REN reports.

🇺🇸🇦🇺🇺🇦 Australia Delays Abrams Tank Delivery to Ukraine Pending US Approval Australia’s defense ministry says it is still waiting for official US permission to transfer M1A1 tanks to Ukraine.

🇮🇳🇵🇰 Pakistan Clarifies No Imminent War with India Defense Minister Khawaja Asif said he didn’t predict war within three days, but noted the next few days remain critical amid rising tensions.

🇩🇪🇺🇦 Merz: Germany Won’t Accept an Imposed Peace on Ukraine Future Chancellor Merz says Germany supports Ukraine’s defense and rejects any peace dictated by force or against Ukraine’s will, DW reports.

🇳🇴🇫🇮🇷🇺 Russia Expands Military Bases Near NATO Border Russia builds new army HQs, barracks, and railways near Finland and Norway, planning to station 10,000 troops per division just 160 km from NATO borders, per the WSJ.

🇫🇷🇺🇦🇷🇺 Pressure on Russia Will Increase in the Next 8–10 Days to Achieve Peace in Ukraine — Macron

🇪🇸 Spain Declares State of Emergency After Nationwide Blackout All nuclear power plants have shut down safely due to loss of external power amid a massive blackout, Spain’s Interior Ministry announced.

🇮🇳🇵🇰 War with India Could Start Within 2–4 Days — Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif

🇮🇳🇵🇰 Pakistan Will Be Divided into Four Parts by the End of 2025 — Indian MP Nishikant Dubey

🇺🇸🇬🇷🇺🇦 US Wants Greece to Send Patriot Air Defense Systems to Ukraine Washington is urging Greece to transfer its Patriots, previously stationed in Saudi Arabia, to support Ukraine — Kathimerini

🇮🇳🇵🇰 Pakistan Issues NOTAM Over Lahore April 28–30 Some air routes in Lahore FIR (eastern and northeastern Pakistan) are closed for “Operational Reasons.” Flights must use other paths. Changes last from April 28 (11:00 UTC) to April 30 (05:00 UTC).