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craptor.bsky.social
Habitual second place finisher and constantly on goalie tilt. soccer model picks: https://betstamp.app/u/Statsbombvspinny Coin Poker Signup: https://record.coinpokeraffiliates.com/_1V20roDeD2DUOsjNOfgKeWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/ BonusCode: Ducksauce
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EPL week 27 projections (70/30 npxg/g weighted in season data only) My model likes a lot of the same sides that opta analyst does so naturally im going to have a big losing week. Im slightly skiddish on bournemouth and chelsea specifically, but not enough to avoid them.

EPL week 26 projections (70/30 npxg / g weighted in season data only) Id avoid chelsea right now. I'm also personally avoiding liverpool. Agree with most everything else although less bullish than model on spurs, but still like them vs ipswich.

Want to go visit the national parks this year? Sorry. The reservation system is shut down, EMT personnel are gone, so don't get hurt or lost. No one can clean the bathrooms or cabins, so they'll be closed. Rangers are fired. www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti...

@juliusgoat.bsky.social

EPL week 25 (70/30 npxg / g weighted in season data only) Model has a huge lean on spurs which I will once again beg of you to stay away from for your own sanity.

Could not get a better, more apt, last Merseyside Derby at Goodson than that.

5.5 xg to 2.9 xg over the 3 matches vs newcastle this year and a 0-5 scoreline. pretty unlucky.... incoming 5-0 at the emirates baby!

whelp putting travel plans on hold for a while

spurs won, but that bet would of been pretty clearly minus ev. aside from that model absolutely cleaned up this weekend with bournemouth being the only disappointment (pretty unlucky to not get the half loss, if not the whole win with a draw). fading city continues to generate immense wealth

EPL GW 24 Model projections (70/30 npxg/g weighted in season data only) I WOULD NOT RECOMMEND TAILING THE MODEL ON SPURS, DONT DO THAT TO YOURSELF. Also hell ya we got a big edge on arsenal!

i fucking can't..... using an image for something that wasn't called a foul, that had it been called would of won arsenal the title if liverpool scored the penalty as an example for a high footed challenge. you cannot make this shit up

Arsenal down to -1 so small lean there. Yay actually getting to bet on arsenal!

EPL GW 23 projections (70/30 npxg/g weighted in season data only) Continue to be careful about betting on spurs, but at home -1.25 vs leicester still should be fine even with their injuries. Big edge on chelsea at city even though it's been bet down some since the psg result

Will say this for Elon’s salute. Working in sports journalism 100% prepares you for just how much people are willing to not see what happens in front of them, despite clear video evidence, when incentivized by prior emotional and ideological commitments.

Wow, more and more people are saying it's actually impressive that Arsenal are hanging in this rather than some massive failure. Something I've been saying for weeks (if not months). What a time to be alive!

Just realized arsenals injury crisis is so bad they are injuring players that don't play for them anymore like reiss nelson and folarin balogun.

anti-woke up in smoke

GW 22 Projections (70/30 npxg/g weighted) in season data only no adjustments Model is way more confident in forest/ipswich/spurs/bournemouth than I personally am. tread carefully.

can we talk about how lee child is a plant for big coffee, since i started reading the reacher books i probably drink 2-3x more cups of coffee a day

Watching Arsenal fans during this match, the wailing and gnashing of teeth that Arsenal did not score many more goals in the 2nd Half was LOUD. They probably deserved one more on aggregate, but also Gunners fans are SO desperate for goals.

EPL GW 21 (70/30 npxg/g weighted). In season data only.