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electionmaps.uk
πŸ—³οΈ mapping uk election results & collating polling data nowcast / posters / much more @ electionmaps.uk
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Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+1) RFM: 26% (=) CON: 21% (-1) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 8% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 19-21 Feb. Changes w/ 5-7 Feb.

Northern Irish Assembly Voting Intention: SF: 28% (-1) DUP: 19% (=) ALL: 14% (+1) UUP: 11% (+1) SDLP: 11% (+1) TUV: 11% (=) GRN: 2% (=) PBP: 1% (-1) AON: 1% (=) Via @lucidtalk.bsky.social, 14-17 Feb. Changes w/ 1-4 Nov.

Aggregate Result of the 198 Council By-Elections (for 203 Seats) Since the 2024 General Election: LAB: 72 (-33) CON: 53 (+24) LDM: 37 (-1) RFM: 11 (+11) IND: 10 (-1) GRN: 9 (+2) SNP: 7 (-1) PLC: 2 (=) LOC: 2 (-2)

Tiptree (Colchester) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 55.3% (+10.8) ➑️ RFM: 28.8% (+9.9) 🌹 LAB: 8.5% (-15.6) 🌍 GRN: 4.1% (-2.1) πŸ”Ά LDM: 3.4% (-3.0) Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2024.

Hammersmith Broadway (Hammersmith & Fulham) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 53.4% (-18.2) ➑️ RFM: 13.7% (New) 🌳 CON: 13.3% (-5.5) πŸ”Ά LDM: 12.5% (+2.9) 🌍 GRN: 7.1% (New) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.

Lillie (Hammersmith & Fulham) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 40.4% (-22.5) 🌳 CON: 30.5% (+4.9) πŸ”Ά LDM: 18.4% (+6.9) ➑️ RFM: 10.7% (New) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.

Kilmarnock North (East Ayrshire) Council By-Election Result [1st Prfs]: πŸŽ—οΈ SNP: 35.8% (-11.8) 🌹 LAB: 27.8% (-0.1) πŸ™‹ IND: 13.2% (+5.1) ➑️ RFM: 10.1% (New) 🌳 CON: 7.6% (-6.2) 🌍 GRN: 3.6% (New) πŸ”Ά LDM: 1.8% (New) πŸ™‹ IND: 0.1% (New) No ALBA (-2.6) as prev. SNP 'Gain' From LAB* - Stage 8. Changes w/ 2022.

Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 54.9% (-15.6) 🌳 CON: 25.2% (-4.2) 🌍 GRN: 10.3% (New) πŸ”Ά LDM: 9.6% (New) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.

The polls have closed! All counting tonight barring Colchester which will count tomorrow morning.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 26% (+1) LAB: 25% (-1) CON: 22% (=) LDM: 12% (=) GRN: 7% (-1) SNP: 3% (+1) Via Techne UK, 19-20 Feb. Changes w/ 12-13 Feb.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 28% (-1) LAB: 24% (+1) CON: 20% (-1) LDM: 12% (=) GRN: 10% (+1) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 19 Feb. Changes w/ 12 Feb.

Just look how this post is going down on 'X'. Averaging ~10 unhinged replies a minute, many from 'verified' accounts. Don't think I can continue posting there much longer.

Foreign Leader Favourability Ratings amongst British Voters: πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Volodymyr Zelenskyy Favourable: 64% Unfavourable: 16% NET: +48% πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Donald Trump Favourable: 22% Unfavourable: 73% NET: -51% πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Vladimir Putin Favourable: 4% Unfavourable: 89% NET: -85% Via @YouGov, 16-17 Feb.

Nowcast Update: Reform overtake the Conservatives for 2nd Place. LAB: 229 (-182), 25.2% - [97 Short] RFM: 153 (+148), 25.1% CON: 116 (-5), 22.1% LDM: 72 (=), 12.5% SNP: 42 (+33), 2.8% GRN: 5 (+1), 8.4% PLC: 4 (=), 0.6% Oth: 10 (+5), 3.3% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Reform UK Lead in the EMUK Polling Average for the First Time RFM: 25.6% (+10.9) LAB: 25.5% (-9.1) CON: 22.2% (-2.1) LDM: 12.6% (+0.1) GRN: 8.4% (+1.5) SNP: 2.6% (+0.0) (weighted by recency and historic pollster accuracy) electionmaps.uk/polling

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 26% (+1) LAB: 25% (=) CON: 23% (=) LDM: 12% (=) GRN: 7% (-1) SNP: 2% (=) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 14-18 Feb. Changes w/ 7-10 Feb.

Alperton (Brent) Council By-Election Result: πŸ”Ά LDM: 48.5% (+2.0) 🌹 LAB: 23.0% (-18.3) 🌳 CON: 20.6% (+8.4) ➑️ RFM: 8.0% (New) Liberal Democrat HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 27% (+1) LAB: 25% (=) CON: 21% (=) LDM: 14% (=) GRN: 9% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @yougov.co.uk, 16-17 Feb. Changes w/ 9-10 Feb.

There are 6 council by-elections taking place this week across England & Scotland: - 4 Labour Defences (Barking & Dagenham, East Ayrshire, Hammersmith & Fulham x2) - 1 Lib Dem Defence (Brent) [Tuesday] - 1 Conservative Defence (Colchester)

Scottish Westminster Voting Intention: SNP: 32% (+1) LAB: 18% (-2) RFM: 17% (+2) CON: 13% (-1) LDM: 11% (+2) GRN: 6% (=) Via Norstat, 11-14 Feb. Changes w/ 4-6 Dec.

Aggregate Result of the 192 Council By-Elections (for 197 Seats) Since the 2024 General Election: LAB: 69 (-32) CON: 52 (+24) LDM: 36 (-1) RFM: 11 (+11) IND: 10 (-1) GRN: 9 (+2) SNP: 6 (-1) PLC: 2 (=) LOC: 2 (-2) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Bransgore, Burley, Sopley & Ringwood East (New Forest) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 60.0% (+32.5) 🌍 GRN: 18.9% (-11.9) ➑️ RFM: 15.5% (New) πŸ”Ά LDM: 3.1% (New) 🌹 LAB: 2.5% (-5.1) No IND (-34.1) as previous. Conservative GAIN from Green. Changes w/ 2023.

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 26% (+1) RFM: 25% (=) CON: 22% (-1) LDM: 12% (-1) GRN: 8% (+1) SNP: 2% (=) Via Techne, 12-13 Feb. Changes w/ 5-6 Feb.

Warwick All Saints & Woodloes (Warwick) Council By-Election Result: 🌍 GRN: 34.9% (+22.1) ➑️ RFM: 21.8% (New) 🌹 LAB: 19.4% (-24.7) 🌳 CON: 18.6% (-15.7) πŸ”Ά LDM: 5.3% (-3.5) Green GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2023.

Kirkitilloch East, North & Twechar (East Dunbartonshire) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]: 🌹 LAB: 30.2% (+1.0) πŸŽ—οΈ SNP: 22.9% (-16.0) πŸ”Ά LDM: 21.3% (+2.6) ➑️ RFM: 15.0% (New) 🌳 CON: 4.1% (-7.8) 🌍 GRN: 4.0% (New) πŸ”· ALBA: 2.0 (New) πŸ’‚ SOV: 0.6% (New) Labour 'Gain' from Lib Dem* Changes w/ 2022.

Burnt Oak (Barnet) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 45.0% (-18.2) 🌳 CON: 21.2% (-2.7) ➑️ RFM: 18.4% (New) 🌍 GRN: 8.6% (-4.3) πŸ”Ά LDM: 3.9% (New) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί REU: 2.9% (New) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.

Manor (Stevenage) Council By-Election Result: πŸ”Ά LDM: 55.6% (+0.1) ➑️ RFM: 23.4% (New) 🌳 CON: 10.2% (-5.2) 🌹 LAB: 7.4% (-12.3) 🌍 GRN: 3.4% (-6.0) Liberal Democrat HOLD. Changes w/ 2024.

Trevethin & Penygarn (Torfaen) Council By-Election Result: ➑️ RFM: 47.0% (New) 🌹 LAB: 26.6% (-49.2) πŸ™‹ IND: 12.0% (New) πŸ™‹ IND: 11.7% (New) 🌍 GRN: 2.6% (New) No CON (-24.1) as previous. Reform GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2022.

➑️ At 6%, this represents Reforms largest EVER lead (and equals that of the Brexit Party in June 2019). I'd notethat this is in outlier territory for that time being, only 1 other pollster (YouGov) is showing a Reform lead, and they have it at just 1%.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 29% (=) LAB: 23% (-2) CON: 21% (+3) LDM: 12% (-1) GRN: 9% (-1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 12 Feb. Changes w/ 5 Feb.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 25% (+1) LAB: 25% (+1) CON: 23% (-3) LDM: 12% (-1) GRN: 8% (+2) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 7-10 Feb. Changes w/ 31 Jan - 3 Feb.

Haverfordwest Prendergast (Pembrokeshire) Council By-Election Result: πŸ™‹ IND: 31.6% (New) πŸ”Ά LDM: 25.4% (New) 🌳 CON: 21.6% (-37.0) ➑️ RFM: 11.3% (New) 🌹 LAB: 9.0% (-32.3) 🌍 GRN: 1.1% (New) Independent GAIN from Conservative. Changes w/ 2022.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 26% (+1) LAB: 25% (+1) CON: 21% (=) LDM: 14% (=) GRN: 9% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @yougov.co.uk, 9-10 Feb. Changes w/ 2-3 Feb.

There are 7 Council By-Elections taking place this week across England, Scotland & Wales: - 3 Labour Defences (Barnet, Torfaen, Warwick) - 2 Lib Dem Defences (E. Dunbartonshire, Stevenage) - 1 Conservative Defence (Pembrokeshire) [Tuesday] - 1 Green Defence (New Forest)

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (-1) RFM: 26% (-1) CON: 22% (+1) LDM: 11% (=) GRN: 8% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 5-7 Feb. Changes w/ 22-24 Jan.

Aggregate Result of the 185 Council By-Elections (for 190 Seats) Since the 2024 General Election: LAB: 67 (-31) CON: 51 (+24) LDM: 35 (=) RFM: 10 (+10) IND: 9 (-2) GRN: 8 (+2) SNP: 6 (-1) PLC: 2 (=) LOC: 2 (-2) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Rochester East & Warren Wood (Medway) Council By-Election Result: ➑️ RFM: 36.7% (New) 🌹 LAB: 32.9% (-22.0) 🌳 CON: 20.2% (-5.8) 🌍 GRN: 5.9% (-6.3) πŸ”Ά LDM: 3.4% (-3.4) 🏰 HER: 0.9% (New) Reform GAIN from Labour (x2). Changes w/ 2023.

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 25% (-1) RFM: 25% (+1) CON: 23% (=) LDM: 13% (+1) GRN: 7% (=) SNP: 2% (-1) Via Techne UK, 5-6 Feb. Changes w/ 29-30 Jan.

Winnersh (Wokingham) Council By-Election Result: πŸ”Ά LDM: 52.7% (-7.2) 🌳 CON: 37.3% (+10.7) 🌹 LAB: 5.6% (-5.1) 🌍 GRN: 4.4% (New) No TUSC (-2.9) as previous. Liberal Democrat HOLD. Changes w/ 2024.

Gillingham South (Medway) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 37.4% (-19.9) ➑️ RFM: 26.8% (New) 🌳 CON: 17.5% (-0.6) 🌍 GRN: 8.8% (-4.4) πŸ”Ά LDM: 5.2% (-6.2) πŸ”΄ SDP: 3.7% (New) 🏰 HER: 0.6% (New) Labour HOLD. Changes w/ 2023.

Baxenden (Hyndburn) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 35.7% (-13.2) ➑️ RFM: 32.3% (New) 🌹 LAB: 28.8% (-22.3) 🌍 GRN: 3.2% (New) Conservative GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2024.

The Bentleys & Frating (Tendring) Council By-Election Result: ➑️ RFM: 45.3% (New) πŸ”Ά LDM: 34.4% (+16.8) 🌳 CON: 17.1% (-31.4) 🌹 LAB: 3.2% (-7.7) No IND (-13.4) or GRN (-9.4) as previous. Reform GAIN from Conservative. Changes w/ 2023.