Profile avatar
fabienbossy.bsky.social
Economist, French
751 posts 289 followers 288 following
Prolific Poster
Conversation Starter

Hey, les gens... Le CAE est sur Bluesky. bsky.app/profile/caee...

L’Insee est désormais sur Bluesky ! Dorénavant, vous pouvez également retrouver nos publications en suivant notre compte @insee.fr. Abonnez-vous !

The world goes round and round

New article by me! It's a common mistake to think the TFR is a prediction of the average number of children women will have over their lifetimes. But it's not. The TFR can decline even when the eventual number of children per woman stays constant or even increases; the opposite can happen too. 🧵

one of the sharpest points of cognitive dissonance on the wealth tax discussion is that the US effectively has one with annual state taxes based on the value of your house (property tax), but it's rarely mentioned as an effective, or successful even, example in articles or politics

Echoing this. Senior officials clear public statements by Vance etc don't invalidate the productive European-US discussions on security guarantees that are being had or models under consideration are no longer valid. Array of options on troop presence, weapons, equipment, use of frozen assets etc 1/

Great piece of speculative history by @dacemoglumit.bsky.social in the FT on the likely effects of the Musk coup that I dearly hope Rachel Reeves is reading this morning on.ft.com/4jHIz4i

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 143,000 in January, and the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0% Revisions added net 100,000 jobs in November and December

Did he back down or did he shift the Overton window ?

Disappearing polymorphs en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disappe... are a crystalline form of a chemical compound that becomes impossible to produce once microscopic seeds of another, more stable, form are found in the environment. I knew this was a theoretical possibility, but I didn't think …

Wanted: worker for a 24/7 job, 18 years commitment minimum, you will be oncall at nights, you will have to provide additional food & cleaning supplies Pay: 83€/month & the feeling of a job well done What, no takers? I'm so surprised !

Article: The Rise of the Conjuncturists: Building Economic Expertise on the Fall of the Popular Front, by Nicolas Brisset & Raphaël Fèvre https://buff.ly/3PHvOJd

The leaked "Competitiveness Compass" of the EU Commission is an interesting glimpse into the industrial policy agenda to come. Most of it is a good start - but there is one major trap in there that will come to haunt everyone involved if not avoided: the trap of coordination. Thread:

Thread on banking, finance and growth – and its very complex relationship to regulation 1/ 🧵

Europe-focused think tanks. @bruegel.bsky.social @carnegieeurope.bsky.social @ceps.eu @cepr.org @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social @delorsberlin.bsky.social @delorsinstitute.bsky.social @gmfus.bsky.social @ecfr.eu @institutmontaigne.bsky.social @rielcano.bsky.social @iaionline.bsky.social

Nouvelle note sur le blog @IPPinfo où j’essaie de comprendre comment les prévisions budgétaires ont surestimé les recettes de TVA de 11 milliards pour 2024, soit 5,5 points d’erreur (1/6) ▶️https://blog.ipp.eu/2025/01/22/a-la-recherche-de-la-tva-perdue/

Chief Economist Philip R. Lane tells @derstandard.at how we have made significant progress on our inflation target and that we need inflation to be sustainably at 2 per cent. Read his interview www.ecb.europa.eu/press/inter/...

I just asked my pharmacist if my ear was a bit blocked and he had a look and SCREAMED and told me to go to A&E immediately so off I go, gang!

If you’re looking for presents here’s 10 great books I read this year roughly in the order I read them I think. 1, I love histories of essentially early information technology and how it helped advance us. This one is lovely and fascinating >>

Des gens font leur calendrier de l'avent des livres. Je vais faire le mien, uniquement sur les livres que j'ai lus cette année. Je vais faire 8 romans, 8 essais hors économie et 8 livres d'économie. Je commence avec les 8 romans, vu que je démarre en retard.

Economie et Statistique n° 544 - 2024 (INSEE) www.insee.fr/fr/statistiq...

Enquête mensuelle de conjoncture : début décembre 2024 #BanquedeFrance www.banque-france.fr/fr/publicati...

Allez, moi aussi je vais faire mon calendrier de l’avent, avec rattrapage pour les 3 premiers jours. Les livres d’économie qu’il faut avoir lu et garder dans sa bibliotheque.

I wonder how many people know that Rheinmetall’s share price has risen more than Nvidia’s over the last 3 years? on.ft.com/3Zou0Jx

Aujourd'hui est le premier jour de l'hiver climatologique.

The interesting thing to me about the Conference Board survey is expectations for stocks to rise is off the charts but expectations for the economy as a whole are just fair:

Germany has fallen.

Absolutely no one believes that I read when I'm running

www.wsj.com/politics/how...

Here’s a crazy fact for you: Spain and Germany have now seen basically the exact same amount of economic growth post-2008. Would have been unthinkable to people during most of the 2010s. Spain has seen ~10 percentage points more cumulative growth since 2017.