gametheory101.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

After a long break, finally back on the main channel to discuss a problems with entrenchments: both in how the war is being fought and what will happen afterward. youtu.be/DJ3UB3iSd2o

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Today, I finished recording a new video. Then I recorded a Q&A about the U.S.-Russia summit. Because news happens a million miles an hour now, and so sleeping is no longer legal. Fun! www.youtube.com/watch?v=X-rQ...

submitted 5 days ago • 4 comments

A long podcast-style video discussing ten different drivers of the trends along the eastern front and what Ukraine needs to do to halt Russian advances. youtu.be/lxlIz92mxIk

submitted 13 days ago • 0 comments

Today on Lines on Maps Extra: I do the actual calculation behind the lines on maps of the short-run advantage Ukraine gets from NATO membership delays. youtu.be/2EYSblBeV1o

submitted 15 days ago • 1 comment

Insofar as I do scenario development: (1) No, Trump’s Gaza proposal would not have been on my list. (2) My prior beliefs are so diffuse right now that the probability of a discussion of it would have been bounded well above zero.

submitted 18 days ago • 2 comments

How delays to Ukraine’s entry into NATO provide short-term benefits. It is a long-run problem, but might as well taken the consolation prize given to you. youtu.be/Q7xoj1VYJnM

submitted 19 days ago • 1 comment

Today on Lines on Maps Extra: why the Gaza ceasefire has not yet ended the Red Sea crisis. youtu.be/qepYB-yazdk

submitted 22 days ago • 1 comment

Short turnaround to do a Q&A on Trump's first ten (ten!) days in office. www.youtube.com/watch?v=ARJr...

submitted 24 days ago • 1 comment

Ack! It’s the long-awaited “Trump Buys Greenland” video! youtu.be/GjCwQsuBUls

submitted 25 days ago • 3 comments

Was going to wait for the first 100 days, but I think enough has happened already. Tomorrow is Trump's tenth day in office. Post your questions here about the Trump administration, and I will discuss them over on Lines on Maps Extra on Thursday.

submitted 26 days ago • 12 comments

Five intelligence sources indicate a rift growing between Russia’s business leaders and the Kremlin. Today on the secondary channel: why, and how it connects to U.S. sanctions plans. youtu.be/bRfgzDYOWfU?...

submitted 27 days ago • 1 comment

Today is a combination of why Russia would hide war debt behind forced bank loans and a meta-discussion of the media ecosphere surrounding the allegation. youtu.be/aFozF5J9oTQ

submitted 29 days ago • 0 comments

A look into Trump's peace plan, why it is well-grounded in the theory of war, but there are a bunch of hurdles to making it work. www.youtube.com/watch?v=0yll...

submitted 31 days ago • 0 comments

Another quick turnaround to discuss some of the deeper strategic problems that Apple and Google face with lifting the TikTok ban: www.youtube.com/watch?v=UGXU...

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

A very long Q&A over on the secondary channel about what might happen during Trump's second term in office! www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3uJ...

submitted 34 days ago • 3 comments

I'll be doing a Q&A about Trump's new term tomorrow on the secondary channel: www.youtube.com/@LinesonMaps... Post your questions here!

submitted 35 days ago • 8 comments

Four explanations for why the ceasefire is happening now. youtu.be/q-Hzq6iMIi0

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

submitted 37 days ago • 0 comments

New video on the economic problems Russia is going to face AFTER the war ends: youtu.be/knJbiGdi1Zs

submitted 40 days ago • 0 comments

On the secondary channel today to discuss moral hazard problems in contracting a bounty program. youtu.be/f6EMownV_JY?...

submitted 43 days ago • 2 comments

Some quick thoughts about the surprise offensive that Ukraine has put together. youtu.be/F7htQfJ0H-k

submitted 45 days ago • 3 comments

Quick turnaround this week for a new video on what's happening with the gas disputes involving Ukraine, Russia, Moldova, and Transnistria. www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGSa...

submitted 50 days ago • 0 comments

New video about what Russia has been doing on its side of the line of control and what it says about what Russia's expectations for how the war will end. www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0Mm...

submitted 52 days ago • 3 comments

I just spent the last fifteen minutes watching videos of Putin driving. He is very careful to use his turn signals. I have no idea what it means, but I found it interesting.

submitted 53 days ago • 4 comments

Final Q&A of the year is now live! youtu.be/iQ9u04BI5O0?...

submitted 54 days ago • 1 comment

NFL tiebreakers are a great example of systems that are not independent of irrelevant alternatives. Entering today, the Colts would make the playoffs in every circumstance except a two-way tie with the Broncos. (And, notably, that is the only tie breaker the Broncos held.)

submitted 56 days ago • 1 comment

I’ll be doing an end-of-the-year Q&A video early next week. Post your questions here!

submitted 59 days ago • 12 comments

If you ever wondered what would happen if you had AI try to write a geopolitics strategy video ... the results are not good. www.youtube.com/watch?v=b8lh...

submitted 62 days ago • 3 comments

Some interesting decisions upcoming for Russia in Syria. youtu.be/Eqz4MKdb2Zs

submitted 65 days ago • 1 comment

Still frame from my next video. It's going to be all about that base.

submitted 67 days ago • 1 comment

Why have images of Abu Ghraib when I can show cats instead? youtu.be/UB2wY0mGsy0

submitted 70 days ago • 4 comments

Still frame from my next video. You know it's going to a dark place when I have to switch to showing animals---and this time, given the context, I can't even show a dog. =(

submitted 73 days ago • 4 comments

Only took 22 days to get to this milestone on the secondary channel. Thank you for helping make it happen!

submitted 74 days ago • 2 comments

Slightly delayed, but here’s the Q&A about Syria! www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHBR...

submitted 75 days ago • 2 comments

I’m going to post a Syria/Assad Q&A later today. Reply with any last minute questions you might have!

submitted 76 days ago • 9 comments

Thoughts on the rapid failure of Assad’s government. youtu.be/Ro6Mz_Hhbhg

submitted 77 days ago • 5 comments

Welp. I guess I am working tomorrow.

submitted 78 days ago • 7 comments

Way, way too much happened in the last week, so we’re just going to combine it all into one video. youtu.be/_bzQaqif7WM

submitted 78 days ago • 10 comments

Prepping the next video. Each of these boxes is 30km x 30km, or 900 km^2. A rough estimate is that HTS has gained about 16,000 km^2 in a week. By comparison, Russia captured about 700 km^2 all of last month.

submitted 80 days ago • 4 comments

Snap thoughts on what happened in South Korea yesterday. youtu.be/hZwW3qt9qkc?...

submitted 81 days ago • 0 comments

How Ukraine Will Guarantee a Post-War Settlement with Russia (It would probably be better if we spend more time beyondNATO and nukes.) youtu.be/_HB-zbWDXLo

submitted 82 days ago • 1 comment

Keith Kellogg has been named Trump’s special envoy to Ukraine. What does this mean for the war? I covered his peace plan way back in August, in the context of the Kursk offensive. (Skip to 10:11 if you especially care about that part.) youtu.be/qDA2337lsJg

submitted 88 days ago • 0 comments

November’s Q&A episode is now up on the alt channel! Topics include WW3, Ukrainian nukes, and Russian economic troubles. youtu.be/vI7UTrZvzvI?...

submitted 89 days ago • 1 comment

It’s kinda crazy that we had a rare case of anti-nuclear proliferation warfare go way under the radar. youtu.be/FCGnP77xvrU

submitted 92 days ago • 2 comments