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gentschev.bsky.social
Dad, product and business geek, and runner
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In India, selective breeding and better husbandry increased the milk yield per cow significantly from 2013 to 2022. Cattle in poor countries remain far behind their rich-world peers, which means the opportunity for catch-up growth is enormous. Subscribe to Chartbook: tinyurl.com/bdesb9ye.

A lot of things will need to get rebooted in four years. People should start preparing for that now.

Prompting the AI turns out to be a good way to rubber duck too.

If you want to understand how California’s NIMBYism squandered one of the greatest economic opportunities in nearly a century, consider that over the last 15 years, Silicon Valley’s GDP nearly tripled, yet it approved less housing than Austin, Texas has in just four years.

People sometimes make fun of science that sounds stupid and random. Meanwhile, a study of lizard saliva turned into a peptide medication, which was turned into a diabetes medication, which was turned into a GLP1 weight loss drug, that just became the first therapy every approved for … sleep apnea

Cutting fraud for federal programs seems like an underrated way to save some money. I've seen numbers like $500B for taxes, $100B for Medicare, and $80B for Social Security. You'd never get to zero, but cutting those by half would net you over $300B a year.

I’m having another AI mini-epiphany using ChatGPT o1-preview for a side project. It happily does the next 15 steps of the work, when I used to struggle to get early GPT-4 to do one fully.

This is an interesting scamming case study, and it also shows how much easier this is going to get with AI. What happens when every step of the operation is automated and the AIs don't make obvious mistakes like the people in the scam call center? Buckle up.

We may have to extend the popular version of Godwin's Law to include fascist.

Feeling much better about my life decisions right now.

"But how—and why—would we allow members of the public to opt out of having their handwritten addresses on envelopes read by machines, or to appeal the decisions of those machines?" Great essay on unintended consequences in government. www.digitalistpapers.com/essays/ai-me...

Regarding continued AI startup claims of "AGI real soon," it occurs to me that once you set the expectation that your startup will achieve AGI soon in the first place, deviating from that expectation becomes a big deal, like a potentially company-destroying event. So, consider the incentives.

The bots are here already. :(