hoben.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Are you interested in U.S. legislative history? Newly-available complete dataset on all persons serving as legislators in the 50 state houses between 1900 and 2016: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

submitted 40 days ago • 25 comments

New UCLA rapid attribution study: “Climate change may be linked to roughly a quarter of the extreme fuel moisture deficit when the fires began. The fires would still have been extreme without climate change, but probably somewhat smaller and less intense.” sustainablela.ucla.edu/2025lawildfi...

submitted 44 days ago • 29 comments

New randomized, controlled trial by the World Bank of students using GPT-4 as a tutor in Nigeria. Six weeks of after-school AI tutoring = 2 years of typical learning gains, outperforming 80% of other educational interventions. And it helped all students, especially girls who were initially behind.

submitted 44 days ago • 15 comments

I'm looking for nonfiction books to read. Loved: - (Auto)buographies of Kandel, Oliver Sacks, Oppenheimer, Miles Davis, Feynman, Philip Glass - "The Making of the Atomic Bomb" by Rhoades Don't say "The Power Broker":) I'm on my umpteenth attempt. What are your favorites?

submitted 46 days ago • 5 comments

The world has passed “peak child”

submitted 46 days ago • 10 comments

Scientists developed the first climate models in the late 1960s (for which the Nobel Prize in physics was recently awarded!). How have these models held up against what happened in the real world after they were published? Surprisingly well, it turns out:

submitted 47 days ago • 15 comments

If you are an academic, it can be instructive to work on a paper with AI. Pretend you are working with a grad student & see what happens. Generally o1 is best for well-defined heavy intellectual tasks, Gemini for synthesizing lots of text, and Claude for writing & theorizing. This varies by field.

submitted 47 days ago • 8 comments

Who would have won the 'Simon-Ehrlich bet' over different decades — and what do long-term prices tell us about resource scarcity? The new Our World in Data article by my colleague Hannah Ritchie. ourworldindata.org/simon-ehrlic...

submitted 51 days ago • 2 comments

Why economists need to review the preregistration!* This is a hot mess; hard to believe it's in the QJE datacolada.org/122 * docs.google.com/document/d/1...

submitted 52 days ago • 1 comment

We need more research on social media effects on elites, activists, and other subgroups per our recent Nature review www.nature.com/articles/s41...

submitted 53 days ago • 3 comments

Well this was intuitive...

submitted 53 days ago • 0 comments

Kenneth Arrow’s Last Theorem: Why do the most patient individuals dictate environmental policy in the long run? Let’s explore this fascinating result about efficiency and time preferences. 🧵 www.mechanism-design.org/arch/v009-1/...

submitted 69 days ago • 1 comment

No.

submitted 56 days ago • 9 comments

Ran Spiegler has a new book out that I found very entertaining. It's a collection of essays offering accessible introductions to modern classics of economic theory: global games, Bayesian persuasion, hold-up problem, competitive screening, ... And it's FREE! direct.mit.edu/books/oa-mon...

submitted 57 days ago • 2 comments

I've recently been talking a bit about how difficult it is to carefully check even well-written mathematics. I want to try to explain something about this by telling the story of some errors in the literature that (in part) led to the two papers below. 1/n

submitted 58 days ago • 7 comments

I enjoyed this sophomoric ramble though. Probability is weird and I appreciate scientific American trying to make that weirdness accessible to a broad audience.

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

We don't download PDFs just "to ignore them forever". It's an irreplaceable ritual. A process represents the imbalance between our desire to know and physical and psychological constraints. It symbolizes constant inner battles & compromises for a future in which we read the papers that never comes.

submitted 62 days ago • 6 comments

You’ve downloaded hundreds of PDFs for research and now it’s finally time to ignore them forever

submitted 63 days ago • 9 comments

How do unions and collective bargaining work around the world? And how do they affect the wage structure? A new paper with Suresh Naidu and Benjamin Schoefer @schoefer.bsky.social out NBER WP today and prepared for the Handbook of Labor Economics. Thread below. 👇

submitted 66 days ago • 4 comments

It still boggles my mind that only 66 years separate these photos.

submitted 68 days ago • 35 comments

Challenging game of draw the time series on.ft.com/3DpQ8vZ

submitted 71 days ago • 1 comment

We've significantly updated our paper on modeling + measuring systemic discrimination! Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ab5yx... (cc @aleximas.bsky.social + @aislinnbohren.bsky.social!) A short 🧵 on what's new...

submitted 75 days ago • 9 comments

How policymakers and the US population update their beliefs on the use of science and the trust they have in government following a field experiment that demonstrated the ineffectiveness of a policy intervention, from Guglielmo Briscese and John A. List https://www.nber.org/papers/w33239

submitted 73 days ago • 1 comment

Great data journalism: people report “best times” is when they were 10-15 yo www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

submitted 73 days ago • 99 comments

Super excited to publicly launch "All Day TA" (http://www.alldayta.com), a product @joshgans.bsky.social and I have been working on with our team over the last year. Short version: if you teach in spring, you will want to use this! It's the future of higher education. A short thread: 1/x

submitted 77 days ago • 209 comments

I put this on twitter but figured I'd put it here too. I post a lot of AI stuff over there because it's my job and I have a lot of reach there, hopefully I can start doing more here. I read the OpenAI post and had a few observations, a thread. openai.com/index/elon-m...

submitted 77 days ago • 1 comment