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ianstev91.bsky.social
Former teacher and lawyer, Liberal, pro-Europe.🇪🇺
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Writing this should be enough to lose the Labour whip and be hounded out of the party. Instead they have the ear of the prime minister.

Make sure to read this by @nesrinemalik.bsky.social on the clumsy curelty of the gov's ILR changes "Every bad day at work becomes... a worry that your whole life in the UK may be over. Long-term sickness becomes not just a health calamity, but an existential one" www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

What Starmer and Labour have yet to figure out is that it's all very well having a 10-15 year grand plan for setting Britain to rights, but not if you do stuff that makes you so unpopular in the meantime that you only get 5 years in power.

Prioritise growth by cutting core research funding. Because as everyone knows core research doesn’t do anything for growth 🙄

“If universities start to fail, it will be disastrous for Labour MPs and their constituents. It would be the modern equivalent of the factory closure, or the end of the pit. “And despite how some Labour MPs seem to imagine their voters, it would be Labour’s core supporters who were most affected.”

New post: Is the centre right doomed? mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/05/is-c... Why have so many parties of the centre right either been squeezed out by populist right wing parties (eg France), transformed into populist right wing parties (eg the US), or have done both (eg the UK)?

I've never seen this method of visualisation before. It's very good.

Brexit ideology was shaped in the 1990s, when great power conflict was largely over, European security was no longer at issue & the US underpinned a global free-trading system. It was applied in a world more like the '70s, defined by great power conflict, resurgent protectionism & an unreliable US.

That was the reset that was. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog evaluating the framing and content of the UK-EU reset Summit, political reactions to it, and what it says about Labour's post-Brexit approach to the EU: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/05/that...

Farage was a member of the EU Fisheries committee for three years back when he was trousering a fat salary and pension as a Euro MP. He attended just one of the 42 committee meetings in that time. So much for the fishermen's friend.

🚨Tory-Lib Dem crossover poll: ➡️ Reform UK - 29%(+1) 🔴 Labour - 22%(-1) 🟠 Lib Dem - 17%(+1), 🔵 Tory - 16%(-2) 🟢 Green - 10%(+1) 18/19 May via YouGov / Sky News / Times

There's no placating the Brexiters, no reasoning with them, no basic comprehension or adulthood. You can't debate papers behaving like the Sun or the Mail this morning. There's nothing to debate with. They view all trading relations with Europe as humiliation.

After years of denial, it's really striking that a UK government press release has just come out and said that Brexit was, you know, really bad for trade.

A long read on Labour's depressing new immigration rhetoric and counterproductive policy open.substack.com/pub/davidaar...

What an insane position to have gotten himself into www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...

“The immigration white paper is akin to the Brexit referendum in that it places Farage’s issue at the centre of British politics, and does so largely on his terms,” writes Andrew Adonis. www.prospectmagazine...

Not dealing with Brexitism. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog, including a look at the UK deals with the US & India, a final preview of the UK-EU Summit, and a discussion of Starmer's failure to challenge Brexitism: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/05/not-...

Terrific column by @robertshrimsley.bsky.social: www.ft.com/content/3daf...

I'd love to know what it is they think they're seeing in opinion research that nobody else can spot. I (along with, I suspect, most of my [similarly obsessed] polsci friends and colleagues) am genuinely flummoxed. Best guess is that it's coming from focus groups, not polling. What do others think?